Welspun (NSE:WELCORP) Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


NSE:WELCORP Welspun Corp Ltd NSE:WELCORP
75 GF Score
Price ₹1,498.80
GF Value ₹808.78
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Welspun Beneish M-Score?

Welspun NSE:WELCORP +1.43% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:WELCORP with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹808.78 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Welspun ranks better than 78.4% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Welspun's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:WELCORP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.58
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Welspun was -1.58. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.33.


Welspun Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Welspun's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Welspun Beneish M-Score Chart

Welspun Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.31 -1.80 -2.32 -2.95

Welspun Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.95

NSE:WELCORP vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Welspun's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Welspun Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Welspun's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Welspun's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSE:WELCORP
75GF Score
Welspun Corp Ltd NSE:WELCORP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Welspun Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Welspun for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8428+0.528 * 0.9028+0.404 * 0.7649+0.892 * 1.2167+0.115 * 1.4387
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.142+4.679 * -0.077872-0.327 * 1.0891
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹18,872 Mil.
Revenue was ₹162,092 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹53,430 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹111,026 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹204,340 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹76,406 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹3,546 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹2,463 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹83,498 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹17,631 Mil.
Net Income was ₹16,131 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹32,043 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹18,403 Mil.
Revenue was ₹133,218 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹39,646 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹84,370 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹152,369 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹51,515 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹3,511 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹1,773 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹63,221 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹6,015 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18872.2 / 162092.2) / (18402.8 / 133218.2)
=0.116429 / 0.13814
=0.8428

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(39646.1 / 133218.2) / (53430.1 / 162092.2)
=0.297603 / 0.329628
=0.9028

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (111025.5 + 76405.5) / 204340) / (1 - (84369.9 + 51514.6) / 152369.2)
=0.082749 / 0.108189
=0.7649

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=162092.2 / 133218.2
=1.2167

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3510.7 / (3510.7 + 51514.6)) / (3545.5 / (3545.5 + 76405.5))
=0.063802 / 0.044346
=1.4387

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2463.4 / 162092.2) / (1772.9 / 133218.2)
=0.015198 / 0.013308
=1.142

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17630.7 + 83498.1) / 204340) / ((6015 + 63221.1) / 152369.2)
=0.494905 / 0.454397
=1.0891

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16130.5 - 0 - 32042.8) / 204340
=-0.077872

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Welspun has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 mean?
Welspun (NSE:WELCORP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.95 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Welspun and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Welspun ranks #127 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 21.6%.
Is Welspun's Beneish M-Score too high?
Welspun's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Based on the distribution chart, Welspun ranks #127 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Welspun has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Welspun's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Welspun ranks #127 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Welspun in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Welspun and its competitors. Welspun's current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Welspun stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Welspun (NSE:WELCORP) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹808.78, compared to a current price of ₹1,498.80 — trading 85.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.95. Welspun's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Welspun (NSE:WELCORP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.95 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Welspun (NSE:WELCORP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Welspun stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₹1,498.80 is trading 85.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₹808.78. GuruFocus considers Welspun to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:WELCORP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.95
  • GF Value™: ₹808.78 vs. price of ₹1,498.80 (85.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:WELCORP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Welspun Business Description

Other Exchanges 532144:India
Address Senapati Bapat Marg, Kamala Mills Compound, Welspun House, 5th Floor, Lower Parel (West), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400013
Welspun Corp Ltd is an Indian company engaged in the Production and Coating of High-Grade Submerged Welded Pipes, Hot Rolled Steel Plates and Coils. The company's products include Helically welded pipes, longitudinally welded pipes, High-frequency electric welded pipes, Plates and Coils, Coating Systems, and other services including Pipe bending, Double jointing, Stack pile, and Inventory management. The Group's operations relate to the manufacturing of steel products and plastic products, and segments consist of Steel Products, which derives maximum revenue and others (including plastic products).
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:WELCORP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹1,498.80
Price
₹808.78
GF Value