NTOIF (Neste OYJ) Beneish M-Score: -3.21 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


NTOIF Neste OYJ NTOIF
74 GF Score
Price $30.85
GF Value $21.00
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Neste OYJ Beneish M-Score?

Neste OYJ NTOIF 74 Beneish M-Score is -3.21 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates NTOIF with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of $21.00 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Neste OYJ ranks better than 79.93% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NTOIF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.21   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.65
Current: -3.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Neste OYJ was -1.65. The lowest was -3.21. And the median was -2.45.


Neste OYJ Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Neste OYJ Beneish M-Score Chart

Neste OYJ Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 -1.65 -2.87 -2.48 -3.21

Neste OYJ Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.21 0.00

NTOIF vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Neste OYJ Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NTOIF
74GF Score
Neste OYJ NTOIF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Neste OYJ Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Neste OYJ for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9935+0.528 * 0.6828+0.404 * 0.8747+0.892 * 1.0305+0.115 * 1.0484
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7813+4.679 * -0.101784-0.327 * 1.0189
=-3.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,637 Mil.
Revenue was $22,267 Mil.
Gross Profit was $2,002 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,813 Mil.
Total Assets was $18,441 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,432 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,094 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $42 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,612 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,519 Mil.
Net Income was $169 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $2,046 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,599 Mil.
Revenue was $21,607 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,327 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,816 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,315 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,289 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,026 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $52 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,361 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,568 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1637.002 / 22266.979) / (1598.953 / 21607.33)
=0.073517 / 0.074
=0.9935

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1326.702 / 21607.33) / (2002.342 / 22266.979)
=0.061401 / 0.089924
=0.6828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6812.646 + 10432.084) / 18441.452) / (1 - (5815.707 + 9289.005) / 16315.183)
=0.064893 / 0.074193
=0.8747

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=22266.979 / 21607.33
=1.0305

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1026.178 / (1026.178 + 9289.005)) / (1093.677 / (1093.677 + 10432.084))
=0.099482 / 0.09489
=1.0484

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(42.155 / 22266.979) / (52.356 / 21607.33)
=0.001893 / 0.002423
=0.7813

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5518.735 + 3612.412) / 18441.452) / ((4567.539 + 3361.257) / 16315.183)
=0.495143 / 0.485977
=1.0189

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(168.618 - 0 - 2045.667) / 18441.452
=-0.101784

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Neste OYJ has a M-score of -3.12 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.21 mean?
Neste OYJ (NTOIF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.21 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Neste OYJ and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Neste OYJ ranks #165 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 20.1%.
Is Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score too high?
Neste OYJ's current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. Based on the distribution chart, Neste OYJ ranks #165 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Neste OYJ has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Neste OYJ's Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Neste OYJ ranks #165 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Neste OYJ in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Neste OYJ and its competitors. Neste OYJ's current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Neste OYJ stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Neste OYJ (NTOIF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $21.00, compared to a current price of $30.85 — trading 46.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. Neste OYJ's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Neste OYJ (NTOIF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.21 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Neste OYJ (NTOIF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Neste OYJ stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $30.85 is trading 46.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $21.00. GuruFocus considers Neste OYJ to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NTOIF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.21
  • GF Value™: $21.00 vs. price of $30.85 (46.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NTOIF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Neste OYJ Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Keilaranta 21, Espoo, FIN, 02150
Neste OYJ is a producer of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), with production on three continents. The group also produces oil products and has a network of several fuel stations with expanding service offerings, such as EV charging, in Finland and in the Baltics. Neste has three reporting segments: Renewable Products, Oil Products, and Marketing and Services. Maximum revenue is generated from its Oil Products segment, which offers oil products and related services for the road transportation, heavy machinery, agriculture, aviation, and marine sectors, as well as products for the oil and petrochemical industries. Geographically, the group generates maximum revenue from other European countries (excluding Finland), followed by Finland, the USA, and other markets.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NTOIF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$30.85
Price
$21.00
GF Value