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Canadian National Railway Co (Canadian National Railway Co) Beneish M-Score

: -2.65 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canadian National Railway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CNI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.15
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Canadian National Railway Co was -2.15. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.65.


Canadian National Railway Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian National Railway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => -2.46 [6] => -2.65 [7] => -2.15 [8] => -2.49 [9] => -2.65 )
Canadian National Railway Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.65 -2.15 -2.49 -2.65

Canadian National Railway Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 - - - -2.65

Competitive Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Canadian National Railway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian National Railway Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Canadian National Railway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian National Railway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Canadian National Railway Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Canadian National Railway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9326+0.528 * 1.0174+0.404 * 1.2692+0.892 * 0.9961+0.115 * 0.9749
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.037083-0.327 * 1.1129
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $969 Mil.
Revenue was $12,543 Mil.
Gross Profit was $5,330 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,302 Mil.
Total Assets was $39,256 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $33,573 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,354 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,753 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12,247 Mil.
Net Income was $4,193 Mil.
Gross Profit was $457 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $5,192 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,043 Mil.
Revenue was $12,593 Mil.
Gross Profit was $5,444 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,368 Mil.
Total Assets was $37,293 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $32,394 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,273 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,828 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,830 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(968.992 / 12543.232) / (1043.062 / 12592.565)
=0.077252 / 0.082832
=0.9326

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5444.24 / 12592.565) / (5330.203 / 12543.232)
=0.432338 / 0.424947
=1.0174

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2302.475 + 33572.6) / 39256.112) / (1 - (2368.053 + 32393.817) / 37292.602)
=0.086128 / 0.067862
=1.2692

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12543.232 / 12592.565
=0.9961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1272.727 / (1272.727 + 32393.817)) / (1354.353 / (1354.353 + 33572.6))
=0.037804 / 0.038777
=0.9749

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 12543.232) / (0 / 12592.565)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12247.317 + 3752.982) / 39256.112) / ((10830.328 + 2828.119) / 37292.602)
=0.407587 / 0.366251
=1.1129

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4192.755 - 456.917 - 5191.562) / 39256.112
=-0.037083

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Canadian National Railway Co has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Canadian National Railway Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Canadian National Railway Co (Canadian National Railway Co) Business Description

Address
935 de La Gauchetiere Street West, Montreal, QC, CAN, H3B 2M9
Canadian National's railway spans Canada from coast to coast and extends through Chicago to the Gulf of Mexico. In 2022, CN generated roughly CAD 17.1 billion in revenue by hauling intermodal containers (29% of consolidated revenue), petroleum and chemicals (19%), grain and fertilizers (16%), forest products (12%), metals and mining (11%), automotive shipments (5%), and coal (5%). Other items constitute the remaining revenue.