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Heineken NV (Heineken NV) Beneish M-Score

: -2.58 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heineken NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HEINY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Heineken NV was -2.17. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.62.


Heineken NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heineken NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heineken NV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -3.25 -2.17 -2.35 -2.58

Heineken NV Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.17 - -2.35 - -2.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Heineken NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heineken NV Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Heineken NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heineken NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Heineken NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Heineken NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.049+0.528 * 1.0383+0.404 * 0.9917+0.892 * 1.0883+0.115 * 0.7137
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.038547-0.327 * 1.0129
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $4,893 Mil.
Revenue was $33,110 Mil.
Gross Profit was $11,216 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,431 Mil.
Total Assets was $60,145 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $16,109 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,136 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,167 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,317 Mil.
Net Income was $2,513 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $4,831 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4,286 Mil.
Revenue was $30,423 Mil.
Gross Profit was $10,700 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,668 Mil.
Total Assets was $55,515 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,431 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,899 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $15,032 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $13,658 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4893.13 / 33110.142) / (4286.017 / 30422.669)
=0.147783 / 0.140882
=1.049

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10700.212 / 30422.669) / (11215.921 / 33110.142)
=0.351718 / 0.338746
=1.0383

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12430.752 + 16109.051) / 60145.038) / (1 - (11668.432 + 14431.144) / 55514.831)
=0.525484 / 0.529863
=0.9917

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33110.142 / 30422.669
=1.0883

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1899.364 / (1899.364 + 14431.144)) / (3136.314 / (3136.314 + 16109.051))
=0.116308 / 0.162965
=0.7137

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 33110.142) / (0 / 30422.669)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15317.339 + 16166.848) / 60145.038) / ((13657.839 + 15031.78) / 55514.831)
=0.523471 / 0.516792
=1.0129

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2512.541 - 0 - 4830.971) / 60145.038
=-0.038547

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Heineken NV has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Heineken NV Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Heineken NV (Heineken NV) Business Description

Address
Tweede Weteringplantsoen 21, P.O. Box 28, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1000 AA
Heineken sold 257 million hectolitres of beer in 2022, and is the world's second-largest brewer behind Anheuser-Busch InBev. It has the leading position in many European markets, including the Netherlands, Austria, Greece, and Italy. Its flagship brand, Heineken, is the world's leading international premium lager by volume and has spawned several brand extensions including Heineken 0.0 and Heineken Silver. Heineken is the world's biggest cider producer, and its portfolio also includes brands in the nonalcoholic, Belgian, and craft beer categories.