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OTRK (Ontrak) Beneish M-Score : -4.93 (As of Dec. 16, 2024)


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What is Ontrak Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.93 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ontrak's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OTRK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.34   Med: -4.78   Max: 69.09
Current: -4.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ontrak was 69.09. The lowest was -15.34. And the median was -4.78.


Ontrak Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ontrak's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ontrak Beneish M-Score Chart

Ontrak Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.97 0.65 -3.36 -7.14 -6.21

Ontrak Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.94 -6.21 -3.98 -3.69 -4.93

Competitive Comparison of Ontrak's Beneish M-Score

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Ontrak's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ontrak's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Ontrak's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ontrak's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ontrak Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ontrak for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8794+0.528 * 1.0738+0.404 * 1.755+0.892 * 0.9595+0.115 * 0.9573
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8501+4.679 * -0.61126-0.327 * 0.3995
=-4.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0.48 Mil.
Revenue was 2.569 + 2.451 + 2.68 + 3.539 = $11.24 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1.594 + 1.607 + 1.705 + 2.287 = $7.19 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10.17 Mil.
Total Assets was $22.40 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.67 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2.37 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $20.32 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8.66 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2.29 Mil.
Net Income was -5.58 + -10.289 + -4.458 + -6.396 = $-26.72 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.002 + 0.005 + -0.292 + 0.01 = $-0.28 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1.412 + -4.47 + -3.259 + -3.616 = $-12.76 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.56 Mil.
Revenue was 3.715 + 2.96 + 2.529 + 2.51 = $11.71 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2.675 + 2.156 + 1.682 + 1.537 = $8.05 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12.68 Mil.
Total Assets was $20.77 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1.98 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $5.83 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $24.92 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11.16 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $14.24 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0.475 / 11.239) / (0.563 / 11.714)
=0.042264 / 0.048062
=0.8794

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8.05 / 11.714) / (7.193 / 11.239)
=0.687212 / 0.640004
=1.0738

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10.168 + 0.667) / 22.398) / (1 - (12.684 + 1.975) / 20.768)
=0.516251 / 0.294154
=1.755

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11.239 / 11.714
=0.9595

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.832 / (5.832 + 1.975)) / (2.37 / (2.37 + 0.667))
=0.747022 / 0.780375
=0.9573

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(20.322 / 11.239) / (24.917 / 11.714)
=1.808168 / 2.127113
=0.8501

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2.286 + 8.657) / 22.398) / ((14.241 + 11.156) / 20.768)
=0.48857 / 1.222891
=0.3995

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-26.723 - -0.275 - -12.757) / 22.398
=-0.61126

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ontrak has a M-score of -4.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ontrak Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
333 S. E. 2nd Avenue, Suite 2000, Miami, FL, USA, 33131
Ontrak Inc is an artificial intelligence (AI)-powered and technology-enabled behavioral healthcare company, whose mission is to help improve the health and save the lives of as many people as possible. The Company's technology-enabled platform utilizes claim-based analytics and predictive modeling to provide analytic insights throughout the delivery of our personalized care program. The company's integrated, technology-enabled OntrakTM solutions, a component of the PRE platform, are designed to treat members with behavioral conditions that cause chronic medical conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, coronary artery disease, COPD, and congestive heart failure.
Executives
Michael Edward Sherman director C/O BIOVIE, 2120 COLORADO AVENUE, SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Judith Feld officer: Chief Medical Officer 2200 PASEO VERDE PARKWAY, SUITE 280, HENDERSON NV 89052
James M. Messina director 2200 PASEO VERDE PARKWAY, SUITE 280, HENDERSON NV 89052
Arik Hill officer: Chief Information Officer 2120 COLORADO AVE., SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Robert Accordino officer: Chief Medical Officer 2120 COLORADO AVE., SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Mary Louise Osborne officer: Chief Customer Officer 2200 PASEO VERDE PARKWAY, SUITE 280, HENDERSON NV 89052
James J Park officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2120 COLORADO AVE., SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Jonathan E. Mayhew officer: Chief Executive Officer ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Terren S Peizer director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 11111 SANTA MONICABLVD STE.500, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Robert I Newton officer: General Counsel and Secretary 1940 E. MARIPOSA AVE, ATTN: BRANDON LAVERNE, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Katherine B Quinn director US BANCORP, 800 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Robert Rebak director 2120 COLORADO BLVD., SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Curtis Medeiros officer: Chief Operating Officer 2120 COLORADO AVE., SUITE 230, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Brandon H Laverne officer: Chief Financial Officer 1940 E. MARIPOSA AVE., ATTN: BRANDON LAVERNE, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
David E Smith 10 percent owner 888 LINDA FLORA DRIVE, LOS ANGELES CA 90049