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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -0.98 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust was 0.48. The lowest was -3.29. And the median was -2.16.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 2.0062 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1 | + | 0.892 * 0.6557 | + | 0.115 * 1 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.2036 | + | 4.679 * 0.198759 | - | 0.327 * 1.049 | |||||||
= | -0.98 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $86.1 Mil. Revenue was 69.808 + 35.692 + 37.622 + 40.405 = $183.5 Mil. Gross Profit was 69.808 + 35.692 + 37.622 + 40.405 = $183.5 Mil. Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil. Total Assets was $14,408.7 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.0 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.0 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5.6 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,587.6 Mil. Net Income was 46.535 + 41.407 + 25.434 + 47.608 = $161.0 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was -1620.502 + -983.81 + 243.8 + -342.371 = $-2,702.9 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $65.5 Mil. Revenue was 49.719 + 127.383 + 55.31 + 47.484 = $279.9 Mil. Gross Profit was 49.719 + 127.383 + 55.31 + 47.484 = $279.9 Mil. Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil. Total Assets was $13,113.9 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.0 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.0 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7.1 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,847.8 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (86.132 / 183.527) | / | (65.476 / 279.896) | |
= | 0.469315 | / | 0.23393 | |
= | 2.0062 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (279.896 / 279.896) | / | (183.527 / 183.527) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (0 + 0) / 14408.706) | / | (1 - (0 + 0) / 13113.887) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 183.527 | / | 279.896 | |
= | 0.6557 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (0 / (0 + 0)) | / | (0 / (0 + 0)) | |
= | / | |||
= | 1 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (5.608 / 183.527) | / | (7.106 / 279.896) | |
= | 0.030557 | / | 0.025388 | |
= | 1.2036 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((5587.618 + 0) / 14408.706) | / | ((4847.794 + 0) / 13113.887) | |
= | 0.387795 | / | 0.369669 | |
= | 1.049 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (160.984 - 0 | - | -2702.883) | / | 14408.706 | |
= | 0.198759 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust has a M-score of -0.98 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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Catherine A. Lynch | director | 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055 |
Doug Jones | officer: Chief Correspondent Lending Of | C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021 |
Preston Paul Dufauchard, Jr. | director | 11230 ELVESSA STREET, OAKLAND CA 94605 |
Stacey D. Stewart | director | 5920 WALHONDING ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20816 |
Scott W. Carnahan | director | 3820 VISTA AZUL, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92672 |
Donna M Corley | director | 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102 |
William Herbert Chang | officer: Chief Investment Officer | PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361 |
Marianne Sullivan | director | C/O PENNYMAC, 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361 |
David Spector | officer: President and COO, other: Trustee | C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021 |
James Follette | officer: Chief Mortgage Fulfillment Ofr | PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361 |
Renee Schultz | director | C/O PENNYMAC, 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361 |
Derek Stark | officer: Chief Legal Officer | 4500 PARK GRANADA, CALABASAS CA 91302 |
Frank P Willey | director | 1701 VILLAGE CENTER CIRCLE, LAS VEGAS NV 18934 |
Randall D. Hadley | director | 23821 FAIRGREENS EAST, LAGUNA NIGUEL CA 92677 |
Nancy Mcallister, | director | 30 CAMP WOODBINE ROAD, PORT JEFFERSON NY 11777 |
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