Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co (ROCO:8421) Beneish M-Score: -2.63 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


ROCO:8421 Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Ltd ROCO:8421
67 GF Score
Price NT$12.95
GF Value NT$13.57
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Beneish M-Score?

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co ROCO:8421 -0.38% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates ROCO:8421 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$13.57 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,918 Industrial Products companies, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co ranks better than 66.31% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ROCO:8421' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.72   Max: -1.48
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co was -1.48. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.72.


Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -1.48 -2.80 -2.78 -2.63

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.72 -2.97 -2.83 -2.63

ROCO:8421 vs GEV, ETN, PH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ROCO:8421
67GF Score
Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Ltd ROCO:8421
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9986+0.528 * 1.1977+0.404 * 1.0647+0.892 * 0.9608+0.115 * 0.9901
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1158+4.679 * -0.04494-0.327 * 1.0466
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$301 Mil.
Revenue was 307.943 + 287.566 + 288.335 + 291.462 = NT$1,175 Mil.
Gross Profit was 48.379 + 38.06 + 51.536 + 52.713 = NT$191 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$891 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$1,918 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$882 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$117 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$205 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$600 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$547 Mil.
Net Income was 7.448 + 0.831 + -32.334 + 2.545 = NT$-22 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 10.525 + 29.553 + 16.784 + 7.812 = NT$65 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$314 Mil.
Revenue was 304.364 + 318.33 + 302.645 + 297.97 = NT$1,223 Mil.
Gross Profit was 54.028 + 61.127 + 62.818 + 59.737 = NT$238 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$891 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$1,911 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$884 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$116 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$191 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$629 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$463 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(300.913 / 1175.306) / (313.633 / 1223.309)
=0.256029 / 0.256381
=0.9986

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(237.71 / 1223.309) / (190.688 / 1175.306)
=0.194317 / 0.162245
=1.1977

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (890.804 + 882.021) / 1917.756) / (1 - (891.48 + 884.19) / 1911.338)
=0.075573 / 0.070981
=1.0647

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1175.306 / 1223.309
=0.9608

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(116.399 / (116.399 + 884.19)) / (117.433 / (117.433 + 882.021))
=0.11633 / 0.117497
=0.9901

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(205.211 / 1175.306) / (191.426 / 1223.309)
=0.174602 / 0.156482
=1.1158

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((547.317 + 599.589) / 1917.756) / ((463.49 + 628.716) / 1911.338)
=0.598046 / 0.571435
=1.0466

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-21.51 - 0 - 64.674) / 1917.756
=-0.04494

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 mean?
Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co (ROCO:8421) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.63 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co ranks #983 out of 2918 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 33.7%.
Is Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Based on the distribution chart, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co ranks #983 out of 2918 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's Beneish M-Score compare to GEV and ETN?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co ranks #983 out of 2918 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co and its competitors. Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co (ROCO:8421) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$13.57, compared to a current price of NT$12.95 — trading 4.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.63. Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co (ROCO:8421), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.63 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co (ROCO:8421) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$12.95 is trading 4.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$13.57. GuruFocus considers Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ROCO:8421:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.63
  • GF Value™: NT$13.57 vs. price of NT$12.95 (4.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ROCO:8421 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Business Description

Address Lane 98, Xinlong Road, No. 10, Alley 33, Xinpu Township, Hsinchu City, TWN, 305046
Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co Ltd is a Taiwan based company engaged in the manufacturing and sale of heat shrinkable film, tube-sleeping plastic packaging materials, machinery and equipment manufacturing, mould manufacturing and retailing, other chemical product wholesale, product design, and international trade. The company's other products are Label printing, Sleeve (sticker) labeling machines, Transparent film, Royalties, and Others. The main source of income of the company and its subsidiaries is the sales of printed labels and sleeve (stick) labeling machines.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ROCO:8421

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$12.95
Price
NT$13.57
GF Value