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Astra Industrial Group (SAU:1212) Beneish M-Score : 0.63 (As of Apr. 05, 2025)


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What is Astra Industrial Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.63 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:1212' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.47   Med: -2.71   Max: 1.68
Current: 0.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Astra Industrial Group was 1.68. The lowest was -3.47. And the median was -2.71.


Astra Industrial Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Astra Industrial Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Astra Industrial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.67 -2.01 -2.74 0.63

Astra Industrial Group Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.81 -2.64 -0.21 0.63

Competitive Comparison of Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astra Industrial Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Astra Industrial Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Astra Industrial Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0841+0.528 * 0.9561+0.404 * 8.5529+0.892 * 1.0864+0.115 * 1.1866
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0172+4.679 * -0.032253-0.327 * 0.8108
=0.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼1,159 Mil.
Revenue was 721.601 + 688.527 + 819.095 + 842.88 = ﷼3,072 Mil.
Gross Profit was 330.344 + 324.023 + 338.828 + 350.539 = ﷼1,344 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼2,781 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼4,328 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼818 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼81 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼232 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼1,559 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼75 Mil.
Net Income was 131.439 + 139.414 + 168.747 + 149.741 = ﷼589 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 353.978 + 238.102 + 16.433 + 120.422 = ﷼729 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼984 Mil.
Revenue was 776.715 + 643.206 + 659.588 + 748.278 = ﷼2,828 Mil.
Gross Profit was 333.703 + 259.198 + 277.695 + 311.973 = ﷼1,183 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼3,432 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼4,272 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼756 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼90 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼210 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼1,829 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼160 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1159.459 / 3072.103) / (984.441 / 2827.787)
=0.377415 / 0.348131
=1.0841

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1182.569 / 2827.787) / (1343.734 / 3072.103)
=0.418196 / 0.437399
=0.9561

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2781.084 + 818.402) / 4328.062) / (1 - (3431.811 + 756.215) / 4272.109)
=0.168338 / 0.019682
=8.5529

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3072.103 / 2827.787
=1.0864

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(90.429 / (90.429 + 756.215)) / (80.957 / (80.957 + 818.402))
=0.106809 / 0.090016
=1.1866

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(231.571 / 3072.103) / (209.543 / 2827.787)
=0.075379 / 0.074101
=1.0172

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((74.539 + 1559.125) / 4328.062) / ((159.713 + 1829.222) / 4272.109)
=0.377459 / 0.465563
=0.8108

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(589.341 - 0 - 728.935) / 4328.062
=-0.032253

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Astra Industrial Group has a M-score of 0.63 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Astra Industrial Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Astra Industrial Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8128 Salah ad din ayyubi Road, PO Box 1560, Riyadh, SAU, 11441
Astra Industrial Group is an industrial conglomerate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Its companies are concentrated in the key industrial segments of pharmaceuticals, specialty chemicals, power and steel, and mining. The pharmaceuticals segment develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes branded generic pharmaceuticals and under-licensed products globally. The Specialty chemical segment, produces Masterbatch, dust-free additives, and custom-made thermoplastic compounds plus liquid and paste colorants. Steel segment, which produces steel billets, pre-engineered steel buildings and steel structures and rebar. Other segment is the residual segment and comprises of Astra Industrial Group Holding Company, Astra Arabia Real Estate Company and Desert Pearl Invest Limited.

Astra Industrial Group Headlines

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