Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) Beneish M-Score: -2.41 (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

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SAU:4220 Emaar the Economic City JSC SAU:4220
59 GF Score
Price ﷼9.73
GF Value ﷼22.65
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score?

Emaar the Economic City JSC SAU:4220 -0.21% 59 Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAU:4220 with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼22.65 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, Emaar the Economic City JSC ranks better than 53.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.41 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:4220' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -35.49   Med: -2.61   Max: 0.77
Current: -2.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Emaar the Economic City JSC was 0.77. The lowest was -35.49. And the median was -2.61.


Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Emaar the Economic City JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -3.46 -2.47 -3.95 -2.18

Emaar the Economic City JSC Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -35.49 -0.88 -2.95 -2.18 -2.41

Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SAU:4220
59GF Score
Emaar the Economic City JSC SAU:4220
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Emaar the Economic City JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5281+0.528 * -0.0162+0.404 * 0.9903+0.892 * 1.9667+0.115 * 0.9629
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5919+4.679 * -0.001725-0.327 * 0.6127
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼704 Mil.
Revenue was 157.369 + 457.625 + 358.459 + 118.412 = ﷼1,092 Mil.
Gross Profit was 23.828 + 231.783 + 194.617 + -18.891 = ﷼431 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼2,184 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼15,539 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼5,148 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼273 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼159 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼2,142 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼4,082 Mil.
Net Income was -180.406 + 292.914 + -134.869 + -43.656 = ﷼-66 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -20.732 + 82.926 + 5.997 + -107.398 = ﷼-39 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼678 Mil.
Revenue was 203.727 + 184.807 + 90.72 + 75.926 = ﷼555 Mil.
Gross Profit was 76.623 + 48.426 + -81.985 + -46.62 = ﷼-4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼1,987 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼14,966 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼4,998 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼255 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼137 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼9,761 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼24 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(703.6 / 1091.865) / (677.504 / 555.18)
=0.644402 / 1.220332
=0.5281

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-3.556 / 555.18) / (431.337 / 1091.865)
=-0.006405 / 0.395046
=-0.0162

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2183.808 + 5147.861) / 15538.573) / (1 - (1986.992 + 4997.663) / 14966.483)
=0.528163 / 0.533314
=0.9903

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1091.865 / 555.18
=1.9667

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(254.52 / (254.52 + 4997.663)) / (272.802 / (272.802 + 5147.861))
=0.04846 / 0.050326
=0.9629

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(158.933 / 1091.865) / (136.527 / 555.18)
=0.145561 / 0.245915
=0.5919

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4081.831 + 2142.43) / 15538.573) / ((23.683 + 9761.131) / 14966.483)
=0.400568 / 0.653782
=0.6127

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-66.017 - 0 - -39.207) / 15538.573
=-0.001725

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Emaar the Economic City JSC has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 mean?
Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 as of Jul. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Emaar the Economic City JSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Emaar the Economic City JSC ranks #785 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 46.7%.
Is Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Emaar the Economic City JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Based on the distribution chart, Emaar the Economic City JSC ranks #785 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Emaar the Economic City JSC has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Emaar the Economic City JSC ranks #785 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Emaar the Economic City JSC in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Emaar the Economic City JSC and its competitors. Emaar the Economic City JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Emaar the Economic City JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼22.65, compared to a current price of ﷼9.73 — trading 57% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Emaar the Economic City JSC's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Emaar the Economic City JSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼9.73 is trading 57% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼22.65. GuruFocus considers Emaar the Economic City JSC to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SAU:4220:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.41
  • GF Value™: ﷼22.65 vs. price of ﷼9.73 (57% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:4220 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Emaar the Economic City JSC Business Description

Address BayLaSun - Juman street, king Abdullah Economic City, unit 1, Rabigh, SAU, 23964
Emaar the Economic City JSC is a real estate development and management company. The main activity of the company is the development of the King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC). It is also engaged in the development of real estate in the economic and other zones and other development activities, including infrastructures, promotion, marketing and sale of land within development areas, development of buildings and housing units, and construction on behalf of other parties. The company's reportable segments includes Residential business, Industrial development, Hospitality and leisure, Education services, and City operations. Key revenue is derived from its Residential business segment which includes revenue from sale/lease rental income of land and units for residential purposes.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:4220

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼9.73
Price
﷼22.65
GF Value