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Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:4220' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.45   Med: -2.07   Max: 4.56
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Emaar the Economic City JSC was 4.56. The lowest was -3.45. And the median was -2.07.


Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Emaar the Economic City JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -3.02 -2.85 -3.45 -2.46

Emaar the Economic City JSC Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.45 -2.73 -5.48 -3.22 -2.46

Competitive Comparison of Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emaar the Economic City JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Emaar the Economic City JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.517+0.528 * -1.5233+0.404 * 0.9672+0.892 * 2.8391+0.115 * 1.0577
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.1807+4.679 * 0.006042-0.327 * 1.0271
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼779 Mil.
Revenue was 105.011 + 340.97 + 428.372 + 157.004 = ﷼1,031 Mil.
Gross Profit was -47.102 + 220.921 + 237.18 + 20.633 = ﷼432 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼1,892 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼15,150 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼4,972 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼257 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼141 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼8,669 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼33 Mil.
Net Income was -204.188 + 27.172 + 95.069 + -171.275 = ﷼-253 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -216.099 + -58.866 + -88.131 + 18.339 = ﷼-345 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼531 Mil.
Revenue was 136.351 + 61.998 + 78.296 + 86.622 = ﷼363 Mil.
Gross Profit was -90.88 + -53.474 + -50.763 + -36.478 = ﷼-232 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼1,478 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼15,191 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼5,122 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼280 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼275 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼8,392 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼103 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(778.805 / 1031.357) / (530.614 / 363.267)
=0.755126 / 1.460672
=0.517

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-231.595 / 363.267) / (431.632 / 1031.357)
=-0.637534 / 0.418509
=-1.5233

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1892.015 + 4972.003) / 15149.663) / (1 - (1478.27 + 5122.215) / 15190.831)
=0.546919 / 0.565495
=0.9672

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1031.357 / 363.267
=2.8391

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(280.394 / (280.394 + 5122.215)) / (256.57 / (256.57 + 4972.003))
=0.0519 / 0.049071
=1.0577

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(141.178 / 1031.357) / (275.235 / 363.267)
=0.136886 / 0.757666
=0.1807

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((32.794 + 8668.991) / 15149.663) / ((102.732 + 8392.481) / 15190.831)
=0.574388 / 0.559233
=1.0271

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-253.222 - 0 - -344.757) / 15149.663
=0.006042

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Emaar the Economic City JSC has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Emaar the Economic City JSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Abdullah Economic City, Rabigh, SAU
Emaar the Economic City JSC is a real estate development and management company. The main activity of the company is the development of the King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC). It is also engaged in the development of real estate in the economic and other zones and other development activities, including infrastructures, promotion, marketing and sale of land within development areas, development of buildings and housing units, and construction on behalf of other parties.

Emaar the Economic City JSC (SAU:4220) Headlines

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