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The Hour Glass (SGX:AGS) Beneish M-Score : -1.60 (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


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What is The Hour Glass Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.6 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:AGS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.52   Max: -1.6
Current: -1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Hour Glass was -1.60. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.52.


The Hour Glass Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Hour Glass Beneish M-Score Chart

The Hour Glass Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -3.11 -2.54 -2.49 -1.60

The Hour Glass Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.49 - -1.60 -

Competitive Comparison of The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hour Glass's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Hour Glass Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Hour Glass for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7466+0.528 * 1.0454+0.404 * 1.1441+0.892 * 1.006+0.115 * 0.8963
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0807+4.679 * 0.02195-0.327 * 0.916
=-1.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$28 Mil.
Revenue was S$1,130 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$363 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$587 Mil.
Total Assets was S$1,132 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$291 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$44 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$51 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$195 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$62 Mil.
Net Income was S$156 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was S$132 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$16 Mil.
Revenue was S$1,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$377 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$548 Mil.
Total Assets was S$1,056 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$301 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$41 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$47 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$217 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$45 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27.645 / 1129.7) / (15.733 / 1122.941)
=0.024471 / 0.014011
=1.7466

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(377.422 / 1122.941) / (363.216 / 1129.7)
=0.336101 / 0.321515
=1.0454

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (587.477 + 290.594) / 1132.345) / (1 - (547.554 + 301.139) / 1055.949)
=0.224555 / 0.196275
=1.1441

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1129.7 / 1122.941
=1.006

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(40.631 / (40.631 + 301.139)) / (44.438 / (44.438 + 290.594))
=0.118884 / 0.132638
=0.8963

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(51.068 / 1129.7) / (46.974 / 1122.941)
=0.045205 / 0.041831
=1.0807

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((62.056 + 195.441) / 1132.345) / ((44.858 + 217.293) / 1055.949)
=0.227402 / 0.248261
=0.916

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(156.485 - 0 - 131.63) / 1132.345
=0.02195

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Hour Glass has a M-score of -1.60 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


The Hour Glass Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Hour Glass Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
302 Orchard Road, No. 11-01 Tong Building, Singapore, SGP, 238862
The Hour Glass Ltd is a Singapore-based investment holding company. The company is engaged in the retailing and distribution of watches, jewellery and other luxury products, which is also their reportable segment. It also invests in properties. The company's geographical segments include South East Asia and Oceania; and North East Asia. It generates maximum revenue from South East Asia and Oceania segment. Some of its brands include A. Lange & Sohne, Blancpain, Cartier, Hublot, Rolex, and others.