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China CYTS Tours Holding Co (SHSE:600138) Beneish M-Score : -2.22 (As of Apr. 22, 2025)


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What is China CYTS Tours Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600138' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.7   Med: -2.31   Max: -1.14
Current: -2.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China CYTS Tours Holding Co was -1.14. The lowest was -2.70. And the median was -2.31.


China CYTS Tours Holding Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China CYTS Tours Holding Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China CYTS Tours Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.20 -1.14 -2.32 -2.70 -2.22

China CYTS Tours Holding Co Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.75 -2.78 -2.41 -2.22

Competitive Comparison of China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Lodging subindustry, China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China CYTS Tours Holding Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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China CYTS Tours Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China CYTS Tours Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2353+0.528 * 1.0592+0.404 * 0.9507+0.892 * 1.0334+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7808+4.679 * -0.006908-0.327 * 1.0165
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥3,340 Mil.
Revenue was 2909.045 + 2697.113 + 2428.343 + 1922.318 = ¥9,957 Mil.
Gross Profit was 615.583 + 634.066 + 651.996 + 396.941 = ¥2,299 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥7,285 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥17,691 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥5,812 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥293 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥7,060 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥2,134 Mil.
Net Income was 7.391 + 80.488 + 101.57 + -28.999 = ¥160 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -44.819 + 130.239 + 167.719 + 29.53 = ¥283 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,616 Mil.
Revenue was 2900.346 + 2556.149 + 2520.588 + 1657.756 = ¥9,635 Mil.
Gross Profit was 609.099 + 698.144 + 664.591 + 384.195 = ¥2,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥6,377 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥17,287 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥6,187 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥363 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥6,839 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥1,999 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3339.555 / 9956.819) / (2616.075 / 9634.839)
=0.335404 / 0.271522
=1.2353

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2356.029 / 9634.839) / (2298.586 / 9956.819)
=0.244532 / 0.230855
=1.0592

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7284.966 + 5811.772) / 17691.337) / (1 - (6376.853 + 6187.476) / 17286.873)
=0.259709 / 0.273187
=0.9507

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9956.819 / 9634.839
=1.0334

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 6187.476)) / (0 / (0 + 5811.772))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(292.74 / 9956.819) / (362.815 / 9634.839)
=0.029401 / 0.037657
=0.7808

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2133.924 + 7059.558) / 17691.337) / ((1998.884 + 6838.645) / 17286.873)
=0.51966 / 0.511228
=1.0165

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(160.45 - 0 - 282.669) / 17691.337
=-0.006908

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China CYTS Tours Holding Co has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China CYTS Tours Holding Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China CYTS Tours Holding Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 5 Dongzhimen South Street, Zhongyuelv Building, Dongcheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100007
China CYTS Tours Holding Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the tourism services industry. It provides services including holiday booking services, the domestic tourist resort, island tourist resort and other services and benefits. The company provides tourism services which include both the domestic and international tour vacations.
Executives
Yuan Hao senior management
Ding Yuan Wei Director
Yin Xing Fu Director
Liu Guang Ming Director
Zhang Li Jun Director

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