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Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co (SHSE:600760) Beneish M-Score : -1.64 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.64 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600760' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.39   Med: -1.94   Max: 26.69
Current: -1.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co was 26.69. The lowest was -9.39. And the median was -1.94.


Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.38 -3.00 -3.88 -2.56 -0.22

Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.00 -0.22 1.49 -1.28 -1.64

Competitive Comparison of Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0383+0.528 * 0.9023+0.404 * 1.1326+0.892 * 0.8033+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9078+4.679 * 0.005864-0.327 * 0.9437
=-1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥17,446 Mil.
Revenue was 3672.837 + 12131.61 + 9493.084 + 11616.375 = ¥36,914 Mil.
Gross Profit was 448.366 + 1560.761 + 1148.071 + 1306.72 = ¥4,464 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥43,594 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥53,190 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥6,530 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥232 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥32,194 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥22 Mil.
Net Income was 199.382 + 902.229 + 716.119 + 642.856 = ¥2,461 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6.044 + 1380.105 + -7274.64 + 8037.15 = ¥2,149 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥10,654 Mil.
Revenue was 11481.333 + 13974.94 + 9175.131 + 11318.941 = ¥45,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1341.909 + 1376.235 + 1038.706 + 1257.029 = ¥5,014 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥38,383 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥46,040 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥5,314 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥318 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥29,447 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥102 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(17445.641 / 36913.906) / (10654.242 / 45950.345)
=0.472603 / 0.231864
=2.0383

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5013.879 / 45950.345) / (4463.918 / 36913.906)
=0.109115 / 0.120928
=0.9023

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (43593.618 + 6530.362) / 53190.088) / (1 - (38382.803 + 5313.722) / 46039.667)
=0.057644 / 0.050894
=1.1326

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36913.906 / 45950.345
=0.8033

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 5313.722)) / (0 / (0 + 6530.362))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(231.546 / 36913.906) / (317.533 / 45950.345)
=0.006273 / 0.00691
=0.9078

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21.555 + 32194.019) / 53190.088) / ((102.268 + 29446.868) / 46039.667)
=0.605669 / 0.641819
=0.9437

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2460.586 - 0 - 2148.659) / 53190.088
=0.005864

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co has a M-score of -1.64 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1 Lingbei Street, Huanggu District, Shenyang, CHN, 110850
Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing aviation product. Its products offerings include aviation defense equipment and civil aviation products. Civil aviation products include domestic and foreign civil aircraft parts.
Executives
Qian Xue Song Director
Li Ke Ming senior management
Zhang Shao Zhuo senior management
Li Zhang Qiang Director
Xing Yi Xin Directors, senior managers
Li Jian Directors, senior managers
Zhan Qiang senior management
Xue Hong Yu senior management
Guan Yong senior management
Ji Rui Dong Director
Deng Ji Hong senior management
Qi Xia Directors, senior managers
Liu Yu senior management
Liu Yong Tao Director
Qi Jian Xin senior management

Avic Shenyang Aircraft Co Headlines

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