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Orient Group (SHSE:600811) Beneish M-Score : -1.02 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Orient Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.02 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orient Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600811' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -17.12   Med: -2.18   Max: 4.6
Current: -1.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orient Group was 4.60. The lowest was -17.12. And the median was -2.18.


Orient Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orient Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orient Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Orient Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.01 -2.63 -2.70 -1.06 -3.51

Orient Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.13 -3.51 -3.35 -2.87 -1.02

Competitive Comparison of Orient Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Orient Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orient Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Orient Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orient Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orient Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orient Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 4.5173+0.528 * 0.2204+0.404 * 1.1057+0.892 * 0.1509+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 3.6347+4.679 * -0.044792-0.327 * 0.9712
=-1.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,816 Mil.
Revenue was 247.365 + 68.517 + 413.162 + 494.744 = ¥1,224 Mil.
Gross Profit was 45.708 + 28.762 + 37.908 + 4.861 = ¥117 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥11,310 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥35,781 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,183 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥58 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥11,153 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥5,361 Mil.
Net Income was 39.492 + -80.71 + 172.464 + -1453.948 = ¥-1,323 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 128.208 + 100.123 + 17.8 + 33.872 = ¥280 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥4,130 Mil.
Revenue was 2259.485 + 1385.046 + 1942.064 + 2521.77 = ¥8,108 Mil.
Gross Profit was 57.105 + 46.99 + 51.916 + 15.188 = ¥171 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥15,333 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥39,710 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,001 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥105 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥15,371 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥3,499 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2815.552 / 1223.788) / (4129.64 / 8108.365)
=2.300686 / 0.509306
=4.5173

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(171.199 / 8108.365) / (117.239 / 1223.788)
=0.021114 / 0.0958
=0.2204

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11309.577 + 1183.383) / 35780.77) / (1 - (15332.997 + 1001.47) / 39709.94)
=0.650847 / 0.588655
=1.1057

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1223.788 / 8108.365
=0.1509

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1001.47)) / (0 / (0 + 1183.383))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(57.861 / 1223.788) / (105.474 / 8108.365)
=0.04728 / 0.013008
=3.6347

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5361.346 + 11152.769) / 35780.77) / ((3499.387 + 15371.129) / 39709.94)
=0.461536 / 0.475209
=0.9712

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1322.702 - 0 - 280.003) / 35780.77
=-0.044792

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orient Group has a M-score of -1.02 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Orient Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Orient Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 235 Huayuan Street, Nangang District, Harbin, Heilongjiang, CHN, 150001
Orient Group Inc operates in various businesses including a sale of grain and oil, construction materials, household decoration materials as well as mining and leasing services. The company is involved in the four major industrial sectors of finance, modern agriculture and health food industry, new urbanization development and port transportation, and its main business is modern agriculture and health food industry.
Executives
Liu Yi Director
Chi Qing Lin Supervisors
Guan Guo Liang Director

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