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Caida Securities Co (SHSE:600906) Beneish M-Score : -2.84 (As of Apr. 10, 2025)


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What is Caida Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.84 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caida Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600906' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.28   Max: 1.39
Current: -2.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Caida Securities Co was 1.39. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.28.


Caida Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Caida Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0008+0.892 * 1.1476+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4534+4.679 * -0.146023-0.327 * 0.7156
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥0 Mil.
Revenue was 612.123 + 662.19 + 430.636 + 555.411 = ¥2,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 612.123 + 662.19 + 430.636 + 555.411 = ¥2,260 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥0 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥48,514 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥277 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥265 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥9,312 Mil.
Net Income was 129.254 + 129.553 + 111.071 + 51.763 = ¥422 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3800.463 + 563.081 + 1175.938 + 1966.332 = ¥7,506 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥0 Mil.
Revenue was 532.988 + 602.048 + 626.347 + 208.314 = ¥1,970 Mil.
Gross Profit was 532.988 + 602.048 + 626.347 + 208.314 = ¥1,970 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥0 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥44,408 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥289 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥510 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥11,911 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 2260.36) / (0 / 1969.697)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1969.697 / 1969.697) / (2260.36 / 2260.36)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 277.07) / 48514.118) / (1 - (0 + 289.166) / 44407.956)
=0.994289 / 0.993488
=1.0008

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2260.36 / 1969.697
=1.1476

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 289.166)) / (0 / (0 + 277.07))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(265.338 / 2260.36) / (509.955 / 1969.697)
=0.117387 / 0.2589
=0.4534

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9311.876 + 0) / 48514.118) / ((11910.702 + 0) / 44407.956)
=0.191942 / 0.268211
=0.7156

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(421.641 - 0 - 7505.814) / 48514.118
=-0.146023

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Caida Securities Co has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Caida Securities Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Caida Securities Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 35, Ziqiang Road, Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, CHN, 050000
Caida Securities Co Ltd is engaged in securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities underwriting and sponsorship, securities self-operation, securities asset management, margin trading, securities lending, securities investment fund agency sales, financial advisors related to securities trading and securities investment activities, and financial products sales agency.