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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co (SHSE:601238) Beneish M-Score : -2.91 (As of Apr. 18, 2025)


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What is Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:601238' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2   Max: -1.37
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co was -1.37. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.00.


Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -2.01 -1.91 -2.84 -2.91

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.86 -3.06 -2.40 -2.91

Competitive Comparison of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.989+0.528 * 1.0101+0.404 * 0.9336+0.892 * 0.831+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0603+4.679 * -0.043427-0.327 * 1.1132
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥7,738 Mil.
Revenue was 33042.942 + 28485.814 + 24688.616 + 21566.434 = ¥107,784 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1942.043 + 1716.244 + 1780.737 + 1744.852 = ¥7,184 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥112,026 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥232,458 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥30,163 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥5,474 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥90,456 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥13,242 Mil.
Net Income was 703.519 + -1396.285 + 295.995 + 1220.352 = ¥824 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 9935.5 + -1651.425 + 8773.785 + -6139.263 = ¥10,919 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥9,416 Mil.
Revenue was 31524.162 + 36271 + 35354.282 + 26556.724 = ¥129,706 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1431.414 + 3802.52 + 2276.855 + 1221.665 = ¥8,732 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥101,111 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥218,395 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥26,444 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥6,212 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥77,127 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥10,387 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7738.192 / 107783.806) / (9416.184 / 129706.168)
=0.071794 / 0.072596
=0.989

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8732.454 / 129706.168) / (7183.876 / 107783.806)
=0.067325 / 0.066651
=1.0101

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (112026.049 + 30163.483) / 232458.341) / (1 - (101110.638 + 26444.439) / 218394.747)
=0.388323 / 0.415943
=0.9336

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=107783.806 / 129706.168
=0.831

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 26444.439)) / (0 / (0 + 30163.483))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5473.788 / 107783.806) / (6212.417 / 129706.168)
=0.050785 / 0.047896
=1.0603

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13241.693 + 90456.481) / 232458.341) / ((10387.488 + 77126.948) / 218394.747)
=0.446094 / 0.400717
=1.1132

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(823.581 - 0 - 10918.597) / 232458.341
=-0.043427

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
18 Whitfield Road, Room 808, Citicorp Centre, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, HKG
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is a state-controlled producer of passenger vehicles, motorcycles, and auto parts. The company's activities are broadly classified into two segments; The vehicles and related operations segment include the production and sale of a variety of passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, automotive parts, and related operations, and the Others segment includes mainly the production and sale of motorcycles, automobile finance, and insurance, other financing services, and investing businesses. The firm's operations are spread across Mainland China and Hong Kong. Its vehicles segment generates a majority of the revenues for the company. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Yan Zhuang Li senior management
Gao Rui senior management
Feng Xing Ya Directors, senior managers
Liu Xiang Neng senior management
Ge Xian Qing senior management
Deng Lei Director
Wang Dan senior management
Yu Jun senior management
Zheng Heng senior management
Zhu Chun Supervisors
Chen Mao Shan Director
Ceng Qing Hong Director
Chen Han Jun senior management
Chen Xiao Mu Director
Sui Li senior management

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Headlines

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