GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Traffic Control Technology Co Ltd (SHSE:688015) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Traffic Control Technology Co (SHSE:688015) Beneish M-Score : -2.55 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Traffic Control Technology Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:688015' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.8   Med: -2.29   Max: -1.73
Current: -2.55

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Traffic Control Technology Co was -1.73. The lowest was -4.80. And the median was -2.29.


Traffic Control Technology Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Traffic Control Technology Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Traffic Control Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.97 -2.71 -3.12 -1.73 -2.50

Traffic Control Technology Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.90 -2.50 -2.27 -2.22 -2.55

Competitive Comparison of Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Traffic Control Technology Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Traffic Control Technology Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0291+0.528 * 1.1242+0.404 * 1.2185+0.892 * 0.9851+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6188+4.679 * -0.028709-0.327 * 1.0048
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,964 Mil.
Revenue was 491.25 + 453.55 + 423.058 + 797.171 = ¥2,165 Mil.
Gross Profit was 145.134 + 151.665 + 129.825 + 273.108 = ¥700 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥4,139 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,655 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥684 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥94 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,825 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥9 Mil.
Net Income was 9.577 + 8.545 + 12.415 + 43.615 = ¥74 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 211.936 + -168.893 + -156.704 + 350.151 = ¥236 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,937 Mil.
Revenue was 442.86 + 459.392 + 295.215 + 1000.305 = ¥2,198 Mil.
Gross Profit was 144.824 + 155.188 + 105.456 + 393.096 = ¥799 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥4,075 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,452 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥720 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥59 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,675 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥45 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1963.729 / 2165.029) / (1937.035 / 2197.772)
=0.907022 / 0.881363
=1.0291

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(798.564 / 2197.772) / (699.732 / 2165.029)
=0.363352 / 0.323198
=1.1242

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4139.186 + 684.241) / 5654.556) / (1 - (4075.048 + 719.632) / 5452.409)
=0.146984 / 0.120631
=1.2185

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2165.029 / 2197.772
=0.9851

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 719.632)) / (0 / (0 + 684.241))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(93.599 / 2165.029) / (58.696 / 2197.772)
=0.043232 / 0.026707
=1.6188

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8.751 + 2825.294) / 5654.556) / ((44.876 + 2674.819) / 5452.409)
=0.501197 / 0.498806
=1.0048

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(74.152 - 0 - 236.49) / 5654.556
=-0.028709

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Traffic Control Technology Co has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Traffic Control Technology Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Traffic Control Technology Co's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Traffic Control Technology Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 6, Haiying Road, Building 2, 3, Beijing Headquarters, Science and Technology Park, Fengtai District, Beijing, CHN, 100070
Traffic Control Technology Co Ltd is committed towards providing telecom signal system solutions and full lifecycle services for better rail transit. It covers communications-based train control systems, interoperable systems compatible with multiple signal systems, GOA4 level fully automatic operation system and various others.
Executives
Liu Chao Core technical personnel
Guo Hui Core technical personnel
Zhi Guo Sheng senior management
Xiao Xiao Core technical personnel
Bi Wei Wei senior management
Fan Ying Senior management, core technical personnel
Gao Chun Hai Directors, senior managers
Zhang Yang senior management
Wang Wei Senior management, core technical personnel
Yang Xu Wen Core technical personnel
Huang Qing senior management
Wang Zhi Yu senior management
Liu Bo Core technical personnel
Li Chun Hong Directors, senior managers
Zhang Jian Ming senior management

Traffic Control Technology Co Headlines

No Headlines