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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score 11 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spero Therapeutics was 22.69. The lowest was -2.02. And the median was 11.00.
The historical data trend for Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Spero Therapeutics Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | ||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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0.08 | -2.02 | 5.76 | 9.05 | 22.69 |
Spero Therapeutics Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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20.21 | 22.69 | 12.74 | 11.02 | 11.00 |
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Spero Therapeutics for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 14.1361 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.2794 | + | 0.892 * 1.261 | + | 0.115 * 7.9894 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.7145 | + | 4.679 * 0.155999 | - | 0.327 * 1.3924 | |||||||
= | 11.00 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $53.28 Mil. Revenue was 7.819 + 6.017 + 4.204 + 71.825 = $89.87 Mil. Gross Profit was 7.819 + 6.017 + 4.204 + 71.825 = $89.87 Mil. Total Current Assets was $131.63 Mil. Total Assets was $135.16 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3.38 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.04 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $23.08 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $49.10 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2.88 Mil. Net Income was -17.147 + -17.862 + -12.669 + 51.191 = $3.51 Mil. Non Operating Income was -0.026 + 0.001 + -0.014 + 0.003 = $-0.04 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 12.763 + -18.744 + 5.938 + -17.493 = $-17.54 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $2.99 Mil. Revenue was 23.382 + 0.788 + 0.74 + 46.354 = $71.26 Mil. Gross Profit was 23.382 + 0.788 + 0.74 + 46.354 = $71.26 Mil. Total Current Assets was $102.22 Mil. Total Assets was $107.10 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4.45 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.46 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $25.62 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $25.46 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4.12 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (53.282 / 89.865) | / | (2.989 / 71.264) | |
= | 0.592912 | / | 0.041943 | |
= | 14.1361 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (71.264 / 71.264) | / | (89.865 / 89.865) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (131.627 + 3.381) / 135.161) | / | (1 - (102.222 + 4.445) / 107.101) | |
= | 0.001132 | / | 0.004052 | |
= | 0.2794 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 89.865 | / | 71.264 | |
= | 1.261 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (0.458 / (0.458 + 4.445)) | / | (0.04 / (0.04 + 3.381)) | |
= | 0.093412 | / | 0.011692 | |
= | 7.9894 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (23.081 / 89.865) | / | (25.616 / 71.264) | |
= | 0.256841 | / | 0.359452 | |
= | 0.7145 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((2.883 + 49.096) / 135.161) | / | ((4.12 + 25.461) / 107.101) | |
= | 0.384571 | / | 0.276197 | |
= | 1.3924 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (3.513 - -0.036 | - | -17.536) | / | 135.161 | |
= | 0.155999 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Spero Therapeutics has a M-score of 11.00 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Spero Therapeutics's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Timothy Keutzer | officer: Chief Development Officer | C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
Ankit Mahadevia | director, officer: See Remarks | C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVE., 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
Sath Shukla | officer: Chief Financial Officer | C/O ZIOPHARM ONCOLOGY, INC., ONE FIRST AVENUE, PARRIS BUILDING #34, BOSTON MA 02129 |
Kamal Hamed | officer: Chief Medical Officer | 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
Tamara L Joseph | officer: Chief Legal Officer | 32 GARRISON STREET, APT 50-103, BOSTON MA 02116 |
Aquilo Capital Management, Llc | 10 percent owner | ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, SUITE D4900, BUILDING D, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129 |
Kathleen Tregoning | director | C/O CEREVEL THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 131 DARTMOUTH STREET SUITE 502, BOSTON MA 02116 |
Cristina Larkin | officer: Chief Operating Officer | C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
Aquilo Capital, L.p. | 10 percent owner | ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, SUITE D4900, BUILDING D, THE PRESIDIO, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129 |
Scott Thomas Jackson | director | 303B COLLEGE ROAD EAST, PRINCETON NJ 08540 |
Stephen J. Dipalma | officer: Interim CFO | C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
Cynthia Smith | director | 508 WRANGLER DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Pottage John C Jr | director | ACHILLION PHARMACEUTICALS, 300 GEORGE STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06511 |
Plc Glaxosmithkline | 10 percent owner | 980 GREAT WEST ROAD, BRENTFORD MIDDLESEX X0 TW8 9GS |
Joel Sendek | officer: Chief Financial Officer | C/O SPERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 675 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
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