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Origin Materials (STU:5ER) Beneish M-Score : 15.43 (As of Jun. 24, 2024)


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What is Origin Materials Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 15.43 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:5ER' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.43   Med: 15.43   Max: 15.43
Current: 15.43

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Origin Materials was 15.43. The lowest was 15.43. And the median was 15.43.


Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Chart

Origin Materials Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -

Origin Materials Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 15.43

Competitive Comparison of Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Materials's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Origin Materials for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.1317+0.528 * 3.222+0.404 * 2.413+0.892 * 19.6702+0.115 * 0.3199
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.0694+4.679 * 0.007259-0.327 * 1.0437
=15.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €19.16 Mil.
Revenue was 6.279 + 11.979 + 6.69 + 6.367 = €31.32 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0.127 + 3.288 + 0.75 + 0.078 = €4.24 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €162.59 Mil.
Total Assets was €412.75 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €223.09 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €5.52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €34.83 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €12.90 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6.98 Mil.
Net Income was -12.8 + -9.572 + 28.982 + -5.966 = €0.64 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 2.259 + 2.358 + 41.51 + 5.094 = €51.22 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -15.396 + -12.754 + -10.132 + -15.291 = €-53.57 Mil.
Total Receivables was €7.40 Mil.
Revenue was 1.592 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €1.59 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0.695 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.70 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €258.75 Mil.
Total Assets was €451.56 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €180.54 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1.41 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €25.51 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €14.03 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6.80 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19.163 / 31.315) / (7.4 / 1.592)
=0.611943 / 4.648241
=0.1317

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(0.695 / 1.592) / (4.243 / 31.315)
=0.436558 / 0.135494
=3.222

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (162.587 + 223.094) / 412.752) / (1 - (258.75 + 180.537) / 451.561)
=0.065587 / 0.027181
=2.413

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=31.315 / 1.592
=19.6702

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.405 / (1.405 + 180.537)) / (5.519 / (5.519 + 223.094))
=0.007722 / 0.024141
=0.3199

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(34.834 / 31.315) / (25.506 / 1.592)
=1.112374 / 16.021357
=0.0694

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6.975 + 12.898) / 412.752) / ((6.8 + 14.032) / 451.561)
=0.048148 / 0.046133
=1.0437

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(0.644 - 51.221 - -53.573) / 412.752
=0.007259

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Origin Materials has a M-score of 15.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Origin Materials Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Origin Materials (STU:5ER) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
930 Riverside Parkway, Suite 10, West Sacramento, CA, USA, 95605
Origin Materials Inc is a carbon-negative materials company. The platform turns the carbon found in biomass into useful materials, while eliminating the need for fossil resources and capturing carbon in the process.

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