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GDS Holdings (STU:G401) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is GDS Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:G401' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.75   Med: -2.21   Max: -1.72
Current: -2.36

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of GDS Holdings was -1.72. The lowest was -2.75. And the median was -2.21.


GDS Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GDS Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

GDS Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.05 -2.13 -2.65 -2.62

GDS Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.62 -2.64 -2.52 -2.36

Competitive Comparison of GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GDS Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



GDS Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of GDS Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1978+0.528 * 0.9631+0.404 * 0.9389+0.892 * 1.0846+0.115 * 1.0258
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9024+4.679 * -0.033886-0.327 * 1.0036
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €510 Mil.
Revenue was 377.63 + 361.93 + 335.649 + 328.324 = €1,404 Mil.
Gross Profit was 83.647 + 81.677 + 73.288 + 55.522 = €294 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,820 Mil.
Total Assets was €10,485 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,306 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €469 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,525 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,599 Mil.
Net Income was -24.491 + -28.907 + -44.18 + -406.596 = €-504 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.356 + 2.267 + 0.218 + -393.832 = €-395 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 81.685 + 58.167 + -15.965 + 121.928 = €246 Mil.
Total Receivables was €393 Mil.
Revenue was 323.426 + 318.607 + 326.513 + 325.517 = €1,294 Mil.
Gross Profit was 57.449 + 71.015 + 66.644 + 66.082 = €261 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,445 Mil.
Total Assets was €9,866 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,060 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €466 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €174 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €950 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,730 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(509.926 / 1403.533) / (392.516 / 1294.063)
=0.363316 / 0.303321
=1.1978

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(261.19 / 1294.063) / (294.134 / 1403.533)
=0.201837 / 0.209567
=0.9631

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1820.286 + 7306.481) / 10484.792) / (1 - (1445.116 + 7059.861) / 9866.018)
=0.129523 / 0.137952
=0.9389

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1403.533 / 1294.063
=1.0846

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(465.627 / (465.627 + 7059.861)) / (468.985 / (468.985 + 7306.481))
=0.061873 / 0.060316
=1.0258

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(169.856 / 1403.533) / (173.542 / 1294.063)
=0.12102 / 0.134106
=0.9024

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5599.269 + 1525.138) / 10484.792) / ((5730.096 + 949.819) / 9866.018)
=0.679499 / 0.677063
=1.0036

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-504.174 - -394.703 - 245.815) / 10484.792
=-0.033886

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

GDS Holdings has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


GDS Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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GDS Holdings Business Description

Address
No. 999 Zhouhai Road, F4/F5, Building C, Sunland International, Pudong, Shanghai, CHN, 200137
GDS Holdings started as an IT service provider in 2001 then moved to the data center business with its first self-developed data center opening in 2010. The company now develops and operates data centers in China and also builds, operates and transfers data centers for other clients. It offers colocation and managed services and mainly targets hyperscale cloud service customers who take large areas of its data centers or even whole data centers under long-term contracts. It has aggressively raised capital over the past four years for expansion. Its data centers are located predominantly in and around the Tier 1 cities in China and it has also started an expanding into Southeast Asia. GDS listed on the Nasdaq in 2016 and completed a secondary listing in Hong Kong in 2020.

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