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Transurban Group (STU:TU9) Beneish M-Score : -2.16 (As of Dec. 16, 2024)


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What is Transurban Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:TU9' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.37   Max: -0.71
Current: -2.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Transurban Group was -0.71. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.37.


Transurban Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Transurban Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Transurban Group Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.97 -1.74 -2.34 -2.45 -2.16

Transurban Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 - -2.45 - -2.16

Competitive Comparison of Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Transurban Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Transurban Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Transurban Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5756+0.528 * 0.9506+0.404 * 0.9892+0.892 * 0.9867+0.115 * 0.9912
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1226+4.679 * -0.027443-0.327 * 1.0564
=-2.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €362 Mil.
Revenue was €2,541 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,687 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,733 Mil.
Total Assets was €22,635 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €307 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €659 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €238 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,282 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €11,308 Mil.
Net Income was €201 Mil.
Gross Profit was €-184 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,006 Mil.
Total Receivables was €233 Mil.
Revenue was €2,575 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,625 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,544 Mil.
Total Assets was €23,366 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €330 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €688 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €215 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,012 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €11,269 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(362.1 / 2540.871) / (232.918 / 2575.108)
=0.14251 / 0.09045
=1.5756

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1624.852 / 2575.108) / (1686.511 / 2540.871)
=0.630984 / 0.663753
=0.9506

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1733.393 + 307.199) / 22635.276) / (1 - (1544.321 + 329.554) / 23366.148)
=0.909849 / 0.919804
=0.9892

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2540.871 / 2575.108
=0.9867

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(688.223 / (688.223 + 329.554)) / (659.43 / (659.43 + 307.199))
=0.676202 / 0.682196
=0.9912

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(238.11 / 2540.871) / (214.954 / 2575.108)
=0.093712 / 0.083474
=1.1226

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11308.385 + 2282.404) / 22635.276) / ((11268.653 + 2012.016) / 23366.148)
=0.600425 / 0.568372
=1.0564

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(201.098 - -183.826 - 1006.108) / 22635.276
=-0.027443

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Transurban Group has a M-score of -2.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Transurban Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Transurban Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
727 Collins Street, Level 31, Tower 5, Collins Square, Docklands, VIC, AUS, 3008
Transurban Group is an owner/operator of toll roads in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane. It also owns toll roads in Virginia, USA and Montreal, Canada. The weighted average concession life across the portfolio is about 28 years. Australian assets contribute around 90% of proportional revenue.

Transurban Group Headlines

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