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Changchai Co (SZSE:000570) Beneish M-Score : -2.73 (As of Sep. 22, 2024)


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What is Changchai Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.73 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000570' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -22.81   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.7
Current: -2.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Changchai Co was -1.70. The lowest was -22.81. And the median was -2.32.


Changchai Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Changchai Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Changchai Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.24 -2.63 -1.94 -2.62 -2.84

Changchai Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.68 -2.84 -2.74 -2.73

Competitive Comparison of Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Changchai Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Changchai Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Changchai Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9621+0.528 * 0.7332+0.404 * 0.9623+0.892 * 0.9774+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9753+4.679 * -0.010042-0.327 * 0.9917
=-2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,314 Mil.
Revenue was 659.43 + 836.48 + 346.624 + 458.557 = ¥2,301 Mil.
Gross Profit was 101.895 + 146.911 + 58.047 + 77.277 = ¥384 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,160 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,329 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥642 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥149 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,696 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.
Net Income was 17.715 + 32.383 + -48.373 + 24.932 = ¥27 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -144.937 + -16.878 + 351.318 + -109.331 = ¥80 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,398 Mil.
Revenue was 647.415 + 703.102 + 458.221 + 545.6 = ¥2,354 Mil.
Gross Profit was 88.564 + 93.056 + 37.83 + 68.709 = ¥288 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥3,189 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,559 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥714 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥156 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥1,784 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1314.391 / 2301.091) / (1397.819 / 2354.338)
=0.571203 / 0.593721
=0.9621

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(288.159 / 2354.338) / (384.13 / 2301.091)
=0.122395 / 0.166934
=0.7332

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3160.089 + 641.766) / 5329.179) / (1 - (3189.137 + 714.354) / 5559.083)
=0.286596 / 0.297817
=0.9623

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2301.091 / 2354.338
=0.9774

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 714.354)) / (0 / (0 + 641.766))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(148.585 / 2301.091) / (155.872 / 2354.338)
=0.064572 / 0.066206
=0.9753

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 1695.741) / 5329.179) / ((0 + 1783.685) / 5559.083)
=0.318199 / 0.32086
=0.9917

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(26.657 - 0 - 80.172) / 5329.179
=-0.010042

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Changchai Co has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Changchai Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Changchai Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
123 Huaide Middle Road, Jiangsu Province, Changzhou, CHN, 213002
Changchai Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the manufacture and distribution of diesel engines and related spare parts. The company specializes in the manufacture and sale of diesel engines, diesel engine fittings, and castings, gasoline engines, gasoline engine fittings, cereal harvesting machinery, rotovators, walking tractors, molds, and jigs as well as the assembly and sale of the diesel engine and gasoline engine supporting sets. It mainly manufactures and sells small and medium-sized single-cylinder and multi-cylinder diesel engines under the brand of Changchai, which are often used in tractors, combine-harvesters, light commercial vehicles, agriculture equipment, small-sized engineering machinery, generator sets, and ship machines.
Executives
Xu Qian Director
Zhang Jun Yuan Director
Wu Ke Yun Supervisors
Lu Gang Director
Lv Wei Min Supervisors
Lu Zhong Gui Supervisors

Changchai Co Headlines

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