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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (SZSE:000596) Beneish M-Score : -2.27 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.27 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000596' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.01   Med: -2.23   Max: -0.31
Current: -2.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Anhui Gujing Distillery Co was -0.31. The lowest was -4.01. And the median was -2.23.


Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.96 -1.99 -2.39 -3.52 -2.85

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.12 -2.85 -2.33 -2.33 -2.27

Competitive Comparison of Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anhui Gujing Distillery Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Anhui Gujing Distillery Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9402+0.528 * 0.9544+0.404 * 0.9438+0.892 * 1.2491+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9366+4.679 * 0.016253-0.327 * 0.9767
=-2.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,874 Mil.
Revenue was 4642.654 + 4725.942 + 6584.075 + 3948.585 = ¥19,901 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3687.409 + 3675.694 + 5245.711 + 3144.188 = ¥15,753 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥26,028 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥34,966 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥6,535 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥5,798 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥12,807 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥185 Mil.
Net Income was 1033.161 + 1209.77 + 1569.704 + 520.455 = ¥4,333 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 991.789 + 1649.152 + 3078.684 + -1954.819 = ¥3,765 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,596 Mil.
Revenue was 3762.644 + 3727.689 + 5274.317 + 3167.554 = ¥15,932 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2773.722 + 2870.515 + 4108.487 + 2283.312 = ¥12,036 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥24,295 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥30,808 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥4,271 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥4,955 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥11,617 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥104 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1873.937 / 19901.256) / (1595.589 / 15932.204)
=0.094162 / 0.100149
=0.9402

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12036.036 / 15932.204) / (15753.002 / 19901.256)
=0.755453 / 0.791558
=0.9544

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (26028.286 + 6535.418) / 34965.642) / (1 - (24294.922 + 4271.06) / 30808.452)
=0.068694 / 0.072787
=0.9438

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19901.256 / 15932.204
=1.2491

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 4271.06)) / (0 / (0 + 6535.418))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5797.547 / 19901.256) / (4955.276 / 15932.204)
=0.291316 / 0.311023
=0.9366

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((185.315 + 12806.965) / 34965.642) / ((104.074 + 11617.163) / 30808.452)
=0.371573 / 0.380455
=0.9767

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4333.09 - 0 - 3764.806) / 34965.642
=0.016253

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co has a M-score of -2.27 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (SZSE:000596) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Gujing Town, Anhui Province, Bozhou, CHN, 236820
Anhui Gujing is one of the eight most famous baijiu brands in China and the largest baijiu distiller in Anhui province by sales in 2022. The company produces rich-flavored baijiu, with a colorful brand story tracing back 1,800 years to the Three Kingdoms period. Gujing is one of the leading players in the midrange to high-end market and enjoys high retail prices and profit margins, with its flagship Gujing Year Puree series contributing 70%-75% of total sales. The State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Bozhou controls 28% of Gujing.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (SZSE:000596) Headlines

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