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AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co (SZSE:002179) Beneish M-Score

: -2.11 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.11 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002179' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.17   Max: -0.91
Current: -2.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co was -0.91. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.17.


AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.41 -2.35 -2.23 -2.11

AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.18 -2.05 -1.94 -2.11

Competitive Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0052+0.528 * 0.9629+0.404 * 1.2398+0.892 * 1.2675+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0635+4.679 * 0.00707-0.327 * 0.9234
=-2.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥13,250 Mil.
Revenue was 4715.37 + 4601.232 + 5415.823 + 5342.015 = ¥20,074 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1661.058 + 1864.778 + 1982.389 + 2110.657 = ¥7,619 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥27,600 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥35,570 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥6,373 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥727 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥12,498 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥659 Mil.
Net Income was 445.582 + 940.227 + 960.165 + 993.317 = ¥3,339 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2675.53 + -179.292 + 1034.16 + -442.585 = ¥3,088 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥10,400 Mil.
Revenue was 3384.164 + 4262.65 + 4224.804 + 3966.498 = ¥15,838 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1187.548 + 1524.19 + 1497.749 + 1578.462 = ¥5,788 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥26,210 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥31,830 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥4,468 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥540 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥12,640 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥110 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13250.223 / 20074.44) / (10399.546 / 15838.116)
=0.660054 / 0.656615
=1.0052

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5787.949 / 15838.116) / (7618.882 / 20074.44)
=0.365444 / 0.379531
=0.9629

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (27600.166 + 6373.345) / 35569.904) / (1 - (26210.145 + 4467.833) / 31830.19)
=0.04488 / 0.036199
=1.2398

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20074.44 / 15838.116
=1.2675

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 4467.833)) / (0 / (0 + 6373.345))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(727.316 / 20074.44) / (539.586 / 15838.116)
=0.036231 / 0.034069
=1.0635

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((659.268 + 12498.264) / 35569.904) / ((110.183 + 12640.362) / 31830.19)
=0.369906 / 0.40058
=0.9234

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3339.291 - 0 - 3087.813) / 35569.904
=0.00707

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co has a M-score of -2.11 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co (SZSE:002179) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.10 Zhoushan Road, Luoyang, CHN, 471003
AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co Ltd is specialized in research and development of optical, electrical, fluid technology and equipment. The company products are used in aviation, aerospace and military field, communication and data center field, railway transportation field, new energy vehicle field, power equipment, petroleum equipment, medical equipment, and other civil high-end manufacturing fields. It also exports to European countries, the United States, Israel, Australia, Korea, India and so on.

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