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Royal Group Co (SZSE:002329) Beneish M-Score : -2.20 (As of Apr. 11, 2025)


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What is Royal Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002329' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.41   Max: -0.48
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Royal Group Co was -0.48. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.41.


Royal Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Royal Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Royal Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.79 -3.27 -2.21 -2.18

Royal Group Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.18 -2.15 -2.27 -2.20

Competitive Comparison of Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Royal Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Royal Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.2295+0.528 * 0.8295+0.404 * 0.8808+0.892 * 0.7016+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8314+4.679 * -0.102202-0.327 * 1.0019
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,222 Mil.
Revenue was 468.738 + 561.629 + 479.59 + 649.371 = ¥2,159 Mil.
Gross Profit was 106.218 + 150.328 + 112.075 + 100.637 = ¥469 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,229 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,054 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,439 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥162 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,091 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥1,117 Mil.
Net Income was -15.938 + -3.882 + 5.165 + -107.563 = ¥-122 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 86.927 + 101.791 + -68.694 + 274.314 = ¥394 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥781 Mil.
Revenue was 519.736 + 899.983 + 823.749 + 834.466 = ¥3,078 Mil.
Gross Profit was 104.713 + 185.015 + 149.684 + 115.434 = ¥555 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥2,304 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,350 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥1,381 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥278 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,951 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥438 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1222.303 / 2159.328) / (781.475 / 3077.934)
=0.566057 / 0.253896
=2.2295

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(554.846 / 3077.934) / (469.258 / 2159.328)
=0.180266 / 0.217317
=0.8295

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2229.406 + 1438.798) / 5054.275) / (1 - (2303.547 + 1380.569) / 5349.754)
=0.274237 / 0.311349
=0.8808

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2159.328 / 3077.934
=0.7016

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 1380.569)) / (0 / (0 + 1438.798))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(161.894 / 2159.328) / (277.551 / 3077.934)
=0.074974 / 0.090174
=0.8314

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1117.064 + 2091.43) / 5054.275) / ((438.216 + 2951.488) / 5349.754)
=0.634808 / 0.633619
=1.0019

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-122.218 - 0 - 394.338) / 5054.275
=-0.102202

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Royal Group Co has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Royal Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Royal Group Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 65, Fengda Road, High-tech Zone, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, CHN, 530009
Royal Group Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the manufacture and distribution of liquid milk.
Executives
Huang Jia Di Directors, executives
Xie Bing Qiang Executives
Wu Yun Executives
Chen Yi Yi Executives
Xu Lei Lei Director
Chen Bao Hong Supervisors
Wang Wan Fang Director, representative of securities affairs
He Hai Yan Directors, directors, executives, representatives
Yang Hong Jun Director
Li Rong Jiu Executives
Zong Jian Directors, executives
Wang Xiu Ying Supervisors
Jiang Xue Jiao Executives
Zhang Xian Wen Director
Teng Cui Jin Executives

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