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Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co (SZSE:002478) Beneish M-Score : -2.17 (As of Jun. 13, 2024)


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What is Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.17 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002478' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.52   Med: -2.55   Max: -0.74
Current: -2.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co was -0.74. The lowest was -6.52. And the median was -2.55.


Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.41 -2.74 -1.75 -2.82 -2.32

Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -3.08 -2.74 -2.32 -2.17

Competitive Comparison of Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0864+0.528 * 0.9158+0.404 * 0.978+0.892 * 0.8823+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3718+4.679 * 0.082121-0.327 * 0.7942
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,643 Mil.
Revenue was 1302.845 + 1545.671 + 1655.97 + 1637.56 = ¥6,142 Mil.
Gross Profit was 211.961 + 285.726 + 336.024 + 283.167 = ¥1,117 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥5,407 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥7,961 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,185 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥106 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,282 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.
Net Income was 166.001 + 161.454 + 171.333 + 251.661 = ¥750 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -73.191 + 192.165 + -235.264 + 212.987 = ¥97 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,714 Mil.
Revenue was 1821.589 + 1734.311 + 1742.162 + 1663.59 = ¥6,962 Mil.
Gross Profit was 344.772 + 343.191 + 262.322 + 209.069 = ¥1,159 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥5,343 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥7,776 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,064 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥88 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,807 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1643.16 / 6142.046) / (1714.36 / 6961.652)
=0.267526 / 0.246258
=1.0864

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1159.354 / 6961.652) / (1116.878 / 6142.046)
=0.166534 / 0.181841
=0.9158

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5406.509 + 2184.919) / 7960.823) / (1 - (5343.407 + 2063.91) / 7776.256)
=0.046402 / 0.047444
=0.978

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6142.046 / 6961.652
=0.8823

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2063.91)) / (0 / (0 + 2184.919))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(106.054 / 6142.046) / (87.627 / 6961.652)
=0.017267 / 0.012587
=1.3718

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2281.842) / 7960.823) / ((0 + 2806.624) / 7776.256)
=0.286634 / 0.360922
=0.7942

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(750.449 - 0 - 96.697) / 7960.823
=0.082121

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co has a M-score of -2.17 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co (SZSE:002478) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
NO.21 Chang-qi ROAD, Changzhou, Jiangsu, CHN, 213018
Jiangsu Changbao Steeltube Co Ltd is a manufacturing service company specialized in the production of seamless tubes. The company offers OCTG products for the petroleum industry, including connection tubings and casings, coupling stocks, perforating gun carrier pipes, petroleum tool pipes, drill pipes, and slotted pipes; boiler tubes for power generation; steel tubes for auto industry comprising automobile precision tubes.
Executives
Zhu Hong Zhang Director
Han Qiao Lin Directors, executives
Ding Wei Supervisors
Zhu Hai Rong Supervisors
Gao Huai Zhen Supervisors
Zhang Lan Yong Directors, executives
Cao Jian Director
Yao Wei Min Executives
Zhang Ming Hua Supervisors
Zhou Xu Dong Independent director
An Ning Securities Affairs Representative
Yuan Li Ping Supervisors
Zhou Jia Hua Directors, executives
Chen Pu An Director

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