GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » First Baking Co Ltd (TSE:2215) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

First Baking Co (TSE:2215) Beneish M-Score : -1.49 (As of Apr. 27, 2025)


View and export this data going back to 1962. Start your Free Trial

What is First Baking Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.49 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2215' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.63   Max: -1.49
Current: -1.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of First Baking Co was -1.49. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.63.


First Baking Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Baking Co Beneish M-Score Chart

First Baking Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.58 -3.24 -2.59 -1.49

First Baking Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.59 - - -1.49

Competitive Comparison of First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


;
;

First Baking Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of First Baking Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9351+0.528 * 0.9703+0.404 * 2.5938+0.892 * 1.028+0.115 * 0.7264
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0775+4.679 * 0.069894-0.327 * 0.6528
=-1.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,555 Mil.
Revenue was 円27,183 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,456 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,131 Mil.
Total Assets was 円15,781 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円7,336 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円521 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,466 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,455 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円2,055 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円952 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,698 Mil.
Revenue was 円26,442 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円7,037 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円7,378 Mil.
Total Assets was 円17,730 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円10,216 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円517 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,129 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,635 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円32 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3555 / 27183) / (3698 / 26442)
=0.13078 / 0.139853
=0.9351

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7037 / 26442) / (7456 / 27183)
=0.26613 / 0.274289
=0.9703

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8131 + 7336) / 15781) / (1 - (7378 + 10216) / 17730)
=0.019897 / 0.007671
=2.5938

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27183 / 26442
=1.028

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(517 / (517 + 10216)) / (521 / (521 + 7336))
=0.048169 / 0.06631
=0.7264

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3466 / 27183) / (3129 / 26442)
=0.127506 / 0.118334
=1.0775

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 4455) / 15781) / ((32 + 7635) / 17730)
=0.282302 / 0.432431
=0.6528

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2055 - 0 - 952) / 15781
=0.069894

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

First Baking Co has a M-score of -1.49 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


First Baking Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Baking Co's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Baking Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-6-1 Kogawahigashi town, Kodaira, JPN
First Baking Co Ltd is engaged in manufacture and selling of packaged foods and bakery foods. The products of the company include sip wrapping series, mini croissant series, apple ring series, and large Danish series.

First Baking Co Headlines

No Headlines