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Alconix (TSE:3036) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is Alconix Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alconix's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3036' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.43   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alconix was -2.24. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.43.


Alconix Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alconix's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alconix Beneish M-Score Chart

Alconix Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.46 -2.28 -2.24 -2.85

Alconix Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.24 - - - -2.85

Competitive Comparison of Alconix's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Alconix's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alconix's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alconix's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alconix's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alconix Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alconix for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8381+0.528 * 1.0729+0.404 * 1.2445+0.892 * 0.9808+0.115 * 1.0044
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.067+4.679 * -0.074455-0.327 * 0.9347
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円51,361 Mil.
Revenue was 円174,901 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円22,921 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円132,549 Mil.
Total Assets was 円182,890 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円31,737 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円4,788 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円17,457 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円89,693 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円18,327 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,598 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円15,215 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円62,483 Mil.
Revenue was 円178,333 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円25,075 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円144,212 Mil.
Total Assets was 円191,890 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円31,993 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円4,851 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円16,682 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円100,348 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円20,904 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(51361 / 174901) / (62483 / 178333)
=0.293658 / 0.350373
=0.8381

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25075 / 178333) / (22921 / 174901)
=0.140608 / 0.131051
=1.0729

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (132549 + 31737) / 182890) / (1 - (144212 + 31993) / 191890)
=0.101722 / 0.08174
=1.2445

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=174901 / 178333
=0.9808

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4851 / (4851 + 31993)) / (4788 / (4788 + 31737))
=0.131663 / 0.131088
=1.0044

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(17457 / 174901) / (16682 / 178333)
=0.099811 / 0.093544
=1.067

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18327 + 89693) / 182890) / ((20904 + 100348) / 191890)
=0.590628 / 0.631883
=0.9347

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1598 - 0 - 15215) / 182890
=-0.074455

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alconix has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alconix Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alconix (TSE:3036) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-11-1 Nagatacho, Chiyoda-ku, Sanno Park Tower,12th Floor, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-6112
Alconix Corp is a Japan based company engaged in providing industrial metals and minerals. Its portfolio comprises of Aluminum, Copper, Nickel, Titanium, Tungsten, Molybdenum and other rare metal and Rare earth related products. The company also imports and exports non-ferrous metal products. It has a business presence in Japan and other countries.

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