Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:3196 Hotland Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3196
76 GF Score
Price 円1,590.00
GF Value 円2,650.79
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hotland Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Hotland Holdings Co TSE:3196 -0.06% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3196 with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,650.79 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, Hotland Holdings Co ranks better than 58.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3196' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.89   Max: -2.63
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hotland Holdings Co was -2.63. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.89.


Hotland Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hotland Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Hotland Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.09 -2.81 -2.76 -2.63 -2.85

Hotland Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 0.00 0.00 -2.85 0.00

TSE:3196 vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hotland Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3196
76GF Score
Hotland Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3196
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hotland Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hotland Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9157+0.528 * 0.9996+0.404 * 0.9083+0.892 * 1.1065+0.115 * 0.954
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.063275-0.327 * 1.1453
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,765 Mil.
Revenue was 円51,041 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円28,637 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円13,930 Mil.
Total Assets was 円33,458 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,990 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,984 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円11,404 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円8,076 Mil.
Net Income was 円405 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円2,522 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,729 Mil.
Revenue was 円46,126 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円25,869 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円11,926 Mil.
Total Assets was 円28,519 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円12,335 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,548 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,428 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円4,071 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2765.186 / 51040.982) / (2729.103 / 46126.297)
=0.054176 / 0.059166
=0.9157

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25868.841 / 46126.297) / (28637.098 / 51040.982)
=0.560826 / 0.561061
=0.9996

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13930.494 + 14990.003) / 33457.982) / (1 - (11926.138 + 12334.958) / 28519.063)
=0.135617 / 0.149302
=0.9083

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=51040.982 / 46126.297
=1.1065

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1547.943 / (1547.943 + 12334.958)) / (1983.735 / (1983.735 + 14990.003))
=0.1115 / 0.116871
=0.954

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 51040.982) / (0 / 46126.297)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8075.807 + 11404.441) / 33457.982) / ((4070.769 + 10427.888) / 28519.063)
=0.58223 / 0.508385
=1.1453

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(405.397 - 0 - 2522.465) / 33457.982
=-0.063275

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hotland Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 mean?
Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hotland Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #148 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 41.5%.
Is Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Hotland Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. Based on the distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #148 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Hotland Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hotland Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #148 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Hotland Holdings Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hotland Holdings Co and its competitors. Hotland Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hotland Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,650.79, compared to a current price of 円1,590.00 — trading 40% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. Hotland Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hotland Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,590.00 is trading 40% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,650.79. GuruFocus considers Hotland Holdings Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3196:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.85
  • GF Value™: 円2,650.79 vs. price of 円1,590.00 (40% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3196 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hotland Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-9-6 Shintomi, The Park Rex Shintomicho, 4th and 5th floors, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0041
Hotland Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in operating a restaurant chain. The brands of the company include Silver Octopus, Gindaco Highball Bar, Gindaco Bar, Gindako Highball Alley, Silver bean paste, Japan Reborn Bar, and others.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3196

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,590.00
Price
円2,650.79
GF Value