Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) Altman Z-Score: 2.57 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — 21% Below Median


TSE:3196 Hotland Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3196
76 GF Score
Price 円1,559.00
GF Value 円2,655.52
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score?

Hotland Holdings Co TSE:3196 -1.95% 76 Altman Z-Score is 2.57 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 21% below its 10-year median of 3.26. GuruFocus rates TSE:3196 with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,655.52 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 359 Restaurants companies, Hotland Holdings Co ranks better than 50.14% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.26 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Hotland Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.57, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Hotland Holdings Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3196' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.26   Med: 3.26   Max: 4
Current: 2.26

During the past 13 years, Hotland Holdings Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.00. The lowest was 2.26. And the median was 3.26.


Hotland Holdings Co  (TSE:3196) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Hotland Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.45 3.72 4.00 3.42 2.31

Hotland Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.42 3.26 3.12 2.31 0.00

TSE:3196 vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:3196
76GF Score
Hotland Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3196
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hotland Holdings Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0757+1.4*0.1603+3.3*0.0411+0.6*1.7347+1.0*1.0831
=2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was 円35,595 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円15,049 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円12,354 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円5,706 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 883.571 + 0 + -71.572 + 531.96 = 円1,344 Mil.
Interest Expense was -52.606 + 0 + -32.718 + -34.112 = 円-119 Mil.
Revenue was 13800.206 + 0 + 11959.292 + 12792.667 = 円38,552 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円40,426 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円23,305 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(15048.653 - 12354.348)/35594.851
=0.0757

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5706.327/35594.851
=0.1603

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1343.959 - -119.436)/35594.851
=0.0411

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=40426.311/23305.043
=1.7347

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=38552.165/35594.851
=1.0831

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hotland Holdings Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.57 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.57 mean?
Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.57 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hotland Holdings Co and its competitors. This is 21% below median its historical median of 3.26. Over the past decade, Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.26 to 4.00. According to the industry distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #179 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 49.9%.
Is Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Hotland Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.57 is 21% below median its 10-year median of 3.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.26 to a high of 4.00. The Restaurants industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.25. Hotland Holdings Co's value of 2.57 is 14.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #179 out of 359 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Hotland Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hotland Holdings Co's Altman Z-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Hotland Holdings Co ranks #179 out of 359 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Hotland Holdings Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.25. Hotland Holdings Co's value of 2.57 is 14.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Hotland Holdings Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.26 to 4.00 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.26 vs. the industry median of 2.25, Hotland Holdings Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Restaurants company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Restaurants companies is 2.25, based on 359 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Hotland Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score of 2.57 is 14.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Hotland Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Hotland Holdings Co's current Altman Z-Score is 2.57, which is 21% below median its own 10-year median of 3.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hotland Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,655.52, compared to a current price of 円1,559.00 — trading 41.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.57, which is 21% below median its 10-year median of 3.26 and 14.2% above the Restaurants industry median of 2.25. Hotland Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.57 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hotland Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,559.00 is trading 41.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,655.52. GuruFocus considers Hotland Holdings Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3196:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.57 (21% below median its 10-year median of 3.26)
  • GF Value™: 円2,655.52 vs. price of 円1,559.00 (41.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 14.2% above the Restaurants median (#179 of 359)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3196 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hotland Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-9-6 Shintomi, The Park Rex Shintomicho, 4th and 5th floors, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0041
Hotland Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in operating a restaurant chain. The brands of the company include Silver Octopus, Gindaco Highball Bar, Gindaco Bar, Gindako Highball Alley, Silver bean paste, Japan Reborn Bar, and others.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3196

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,559.00
Price
円2,655.52
GF Value