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Hotland Holdings Co (TSE:3196) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,118.04 (As of May. 29, 2025)


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What is Hotland Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-29), Hotland Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,118.04. The stock price of Hotland Holdings Co is 円2116.00. Therefore, Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hotland Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3196' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.89   Med: 2.68   Max: 11.2
Current: 1.89

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hotland Holdings Co was 11.20. The lowest was 1.89. And the median was 2.68.

TSE:3196's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.29% of 224 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.055 vs TSE:3196: 1.89

Hotland Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hotland Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hotland Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hotland Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 235.83 481.39 642.48 780.94 1,118.04

Hotland Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 780.94 - - 1,118.04

Competitive Comparison of Hotland Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Hotland Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hotland Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円961.73.

Hotland Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*961.733+11837.562*0.8)/21.255
=1,118.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hotland Holdings Co  (TSE:3196) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hotland Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2116.00/1118.0406377908
=1.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hotland Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Hotland Holdings Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-9-6 Shintomi, The Park Rex Shintomicho, 4th and 5th floors, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0041
Hotland Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company engaged in operating a restaurant chain. The brands of the company include Silver Octopus, Gindaco Highball Bar, Gindaco Bar, Gindako Highball Alley, Silver bean paste, Japan Reborn Bar, and others.

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