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Nippon Paper Industries Co (TSE:3863) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of Mar. 28, 2025)


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What is Nippon Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3863' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nippon Paper Industries Co was -2.27. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.52.


Nippon Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nippon Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Nippon Paper Industries Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.58 -2.55 -2.85 -2.58

Nippon Paper Industries Co Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.58 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nippon Paper Industries Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Nippon Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nippon Paper Industries Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0702+0.528 * 0.8062+0.404 * 1.1427+0.892 * 1.0127+0.115 * 1.0394
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8942+4.679 * -0.03901-0.327 * 0.9279
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円204,990 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,167,314 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円181,396 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円638,613 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,731,245 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円805,331 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円65,259 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円87,553 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円494,769 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円642,083 Mil.
Net Income was 円22,747 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円90,283 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円189,128 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,152,645 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円144,399 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円627,705 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,666,542 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円796,820 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円67,328 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円96,684 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円504,585 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円674,809 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(204990 / 1167314) / (189128 / 1152645)
=0.175608 / 0.164082
=1.0702

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(144399 / 1152645) / (181396 / 1167314)
=0.125276 / 0.155396
=0.8062

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (638613 + 805331) / 1731245) / (1 - (627705 + 796820) / 1666542)
=0.165951 / 0.145221
=1.1427

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1167314 / 1152645
=1.0127

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(67328 / (67328 + 796820)) / (65259 / (65259 + 805331))
=0.077913 / 0.07496
=1.0394

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(87553 / 1167314) / (96684 / 1152645)
=0.075004 / 0.08388
=0.8942

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((642083 + 494769) / 1731245) / ((674809 + 504585) / 1666542)
=0.656667 / 0.707689
=0.9279

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(22747 - 0 - 90283) / 1731245
=-0.03901

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nippon Paper Industries Co has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nippon Paper Industries Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nippon Paper Industries Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4-6, Kanda-Surugadai, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0062
Nippon Paper Industries Co Ltd produces and sells a variety of paper products. The company's paper products include newsprint, printing, sanitary, and packaging paper, as well as container board and boxes. The firm also sells construction materials, and generates electric power. Nippon Paper organizes itself into four segments based on product type: pulp and paper; paper related; wood products and construction related; and other. The pulp and paper segment generates the majority of revenue. The majority of sales are made in Japan.

Nippon Paper Industries Co Headlines

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