Furubayashi Shiko Co (TSE:3944) Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (As of Jul. 11, 2026)


TSE:3944 Furubayashi Shiko Co Ltd TSE:3944
66 GF Score
Price 円2,429.00
GF Value 円2,083.63
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Furubayashi Shiko Co Beneish M-Score?

Furubayashi Shiko Co TSE:3944 +2.06% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3944 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,083.63 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Furubayashi Shiko Co ranks better than 61.93% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3944' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.39
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Furubayashi Shiko Co was -2.39. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.59.


Furubayashi Shiko Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Furubayashi Shiko Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Furubayashi Shiko Co Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.80 -2.52 -2.39 -2.67

Furubayashi Shiko Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.67 0.00

TSE:3944 vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Furubayashi Shiko Co Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3944
66GF Score
Furubayashi Shiko Co Ltd TSE:3944
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Furubayashi Shiko Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Furubayashi Shiko Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9675+0.528 * 0.887+0.404 * 1.1489+0.892 * 0.9869+0.115 * 0.8604
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9618+4.679 * -0.036526-0.327 * 0.9098
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円5,327 Mil.
Revenue was 円17,865 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,961 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,778 Mil.
Total Assets was 円20,370 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円4,990 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円695 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円554 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,275 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,374 Mil.
Net Income was 円315 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,059 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円5,579 Mil.
Revenue was 円18,102 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,661 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円9,352 Mil.
Total Assets was 円20,652 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円5,473 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円643 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円584 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円8,025 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,613 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5327.493 / 17865.127) / (5579.401 / 18101.971)
=0.298206 / 0.308221
=0.9675

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2661.007 / 18101.971) / (2960.806 / 17865.127)
=0.147001 / 0.165731
=0.887

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8777.522 + 4989.609) / 20370.133) / (1 - (9352.43 + 5472.96) / 20652.182)
=0.324151 / 0.282139
=1.1489

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17865.127 / 18101.971
=0.9869

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(643.07 / (643.07 + 5472.96)) / (694.615 / (694.615 + 4989.609))
=0.105145 / 0.1222
=0.8604

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(553.959 / 17865.127) / (583.568 / 18101.971)
=0.031008 / 0.032238
=0.9618

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1373.989 + 7274.957) / 20370.133) / ((1612.694 + 8025.384) / 20652.182)
=0.42459 / 0.466686
=0.9098

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(315.383 - 0 - 1059.413) / 20370.133
=-0.036526

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Furubayashi Shiko Co has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 mean?
Furubayashi Shiko Co (TSE:3944) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 as of Jul. 11, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Furubayashi Shiko Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Furubayashi Shiko Co ranks #142 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 38.1%.
Is Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Furubayashi Shiko Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Based on the distribution chart, Furubayashi Shiko Co ranks #142 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Furubayashi Shiko Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Furubayashi Shiko Co's Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Furubayashi Shiko Co ranks #142 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Furubayashi Shiko Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Furubayashi Shiko Co and its competitors. Furubayashi Shiko Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Furubayashi Shiko Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Furubayashi Shiko Co (TSE:3944) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,083.63, compared to a current price of 円2,429.00 — trading 16.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Furubayashi Shiko Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Furubayashi Shiko Co (TSE:3944), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Furubayashi Shiko Co (TSE:3944) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Furubayashi Shiko Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,429.00 is trading 16.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,083.63. GuruFocus considers Furubayashi Shiko Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3944:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.67
  • GF Value™: 円2,083.63 vs. price of 円2,429.00 (16.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3944 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Furubayashi Shiko Co Business Description

Address Otedori 3-1-12, Yubinbango, Chuo-ku, Osaka, JPN, 5400021
Furubayashi Shiko Co Ltd is a Japan based manufacturer of printed paper products such as printed paperboard containers for packaging food, liquors, and detergents. The products offered by the company are paper cartons, containers, roll-up packaging materials, labels and other packaging materials, packaging systems, contracts, and others.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3944

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,429.00
Price
円2,083.63
GF Value