Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) Beneish M-Score: -2.72 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSE:5301 Tokai Carbon Co Ltd TSE:5301
73 GF Score
Price 円1,709.50
GF Value 円996.08
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score?

Tokai Carbon Co TSE:5301 -1.07% 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:5301 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of 円996.08 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,529 Chemicals companies, Tokai Carbon Co ranks better than 68.87% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:5301' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.65   Max: -1.48
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokai Carbon Co was -1.48. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.65.


Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokai Carbon Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.50 -2.71 -3.38 -2.72

Tokai Carbon Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.72 0.00

TSE:5301 vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:5301
73GF Score
Tokai Carbon Co Ltd TSE:5301
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokai Carbon Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0466+0.528 * 0.9328+0.404 * 1.0407+0.892 * 0.9224+0.115 * 1.3438
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.053904-0.327 * 0.9431
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円66,781 Mil.
Revenue was 円322,960 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円79,740 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円258,828 Mil.
Total Assets was 円664,033 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円290,429 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円32,592 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円126,726 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円139,245 Mil.
Net Income was 円20,078 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円55,872 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円69,175 Mil.
Revenue was 円350,114 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円80,635 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円270,566 Mil.
Total Assets was 円643,517 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円266,070 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円41,733 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円148,138 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円125,171 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(66781 / 322960) / (69175 / 350114)
=0.206778 / 0.197579
=1.0466

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(80635 / 350114) / (79740 / 322960)
=0.230311 / 0.246904
=0.9328

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (258828 + 290429) / 664033) / (1 - (270566 + 266070) / 643517)
=0.172847 / 0.166089
=1.0407

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=322960 / 350114
=0.9224

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(41733 / (41733 + 266070)) / (32592 / (32592 + 290429))
=0.135583 / 0.100897
=1.3438

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 322960) / (0 / 350114)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((139245 + 126726) / 664033) / ((125171 + 148138) / 643517)
=0.400539 / 0.424711
=0.9431

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(20078 - 0 - 55872) / 664033
=-0.053904

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokai Carbon Co has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 mean?
Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokai Carbon Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokai Carbon Co ranks #476 out of 1529 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 31.1%.
Is Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Tokai Carbon Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Based on the distribution chart, Tokai Carbon Co ranks #476 out of 1529 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokai Carbon Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Tokai Carbon Co ranks #476 out of 1529 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Tokai Carbon Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Chemicals company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokai Carbon Co and its competitors. Tokai Carbon Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokai Carbon Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円996.08, compared to a current price of 円1,709.50 — trading 71.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.72. Tokai Carbon Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.72 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Carbon Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,709.50 is trading 71.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円996.08. GuruFocus considers Tokai Carbon Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:5301:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.72
  • GF Value™: 円996.08 vs. price of 円1,709.50 (71.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:5301 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokai Carbon Co Business Description

Address 1-2-3 Kita Aoyama Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 107-8636
Tokai Carbon Co Ltd is a Japan-based manufacturer of carbon products which include, Carbon black, graphite electrodes, fine carbon friction material and manufactures industrial furnaces, and related products. It operates through three reportable segments, Carbon Black business, Carbon and Ceramics business, and Industrial Furnaces and Related Products business. Carbon black is mainly used as a reinforcing agent of industrial rubber products, typically auto tires. Carbon and Ceramics business segment produces artificial graphite electrodes for electric arc furnaces, fine carbon, carbon brush, impervious graphite, pencil lead-cores. Industrial Furnaces and Related Products segment include Industrial electric furnaces, gas furnaces, silicon carbide heating elements refractory, amongst others.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:5301

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,709.50
Price
円996.08
GF Value