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Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) Beneish M-Score : -2.71 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:5301' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.48
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokai Carbon Co was -1.48. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.58.


Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokai Carbon Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -3.04 -2.30 -2.50 -2.71

Tokai Carbon Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.71 -

Competitive Comparison of Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Carbon Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokai Carbon Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.94+0.528 * 1.0186+0.404 * 0.9341+0.892 * 1.0693+0.115 * 1.1309
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.057196-0.327 * 0.8855
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円65,530 Mil.
Revenue was 円363,946 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円98,727 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円262,890 Mil.
Total Assets was 円640,005 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円223,804 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円37,220 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円136,971 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円96,424 Mil.
Net Income was 円25,468 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円62,074 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円65,197 Mil.
Revenue was 円340,371 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円94,052 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円246,691 Mil.
Total Assets was 円576,465 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円181,948 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円34,982 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円146,696 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円90,706 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(65530 / 363946) / (65197 / 340371)
=0.180054 / 0.191547
=0.94

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(94052 / 340371) / (98727 / 363946)
=0.276322 / 0.271268
=1.0186

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (262890 + 223804) / 640005) / (1 - (246691 + 181948) / 576465)
=0.239547 / 0.256435
=0.9341

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=363946 / 340371
=1.0693

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(34982 / (34982 + 181948)) / (37220 / (37220 + 223804))
=0.161259 / 0.142592
=1.1309

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 363946) / (0 / 340371)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((96424 + 136971) / 640005) / ((90706 + 146696) / 576465)
=0.364677 / 0.411824
=0.8855

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(25468 - 0 - 62074) / 640005
=-0.057196

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokai Carbon Co has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tokai Carbon Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tokai Carbon Co (TSE:5301) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-2-3 Kita Aoyama Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 107-8636
Tokai Carbon Co Ltd is a Japan-based manufacturer of carbon products which include, Carbon black, graphite electrodes, fine carbon friction material and manufactures industrial furnaces, and related products. It operates through three reportable segments, Carbon Black business, Carbon and Ceramics business, and Industrial Furnaces and Related Products business. Carbon black is mainly used as a reinforcing agent of industrial rubber products, typically auto tires. Carbon and Ceramics business segment produces artificial graphite electrodes for electric arc furnaces, fine carbon, carbon brush, impervious graphite, pencil lead-cores. Industrial Furnaces and Related Products segment include Industrial electric furnaces, gas furnaces, silicon carbide heating elements refractory, amongst others.

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