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UACJ (TSE:5741) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is UACJ Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for UACJ's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:5741' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.76   Med: -2.37   Max: -0.88
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of UACJ was -0.88. The lowest was -2.76. And the median was -2.37.


UACJ Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for UACJ's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UACJ Beneish M-Score Chart

UACJ Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.76 -2.36 -2.42 -2.37

UACJ Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.37 -2.52 -2.54 -2.54

Competitive Comparison of UACJ's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, UACJ's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UACJ's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, UACJ's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UACJ's Beneish M-Score falls into.



UACJ Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of UACJ for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3685+0.528 * 1.026+0.404 * 1.0858+0.892 * 0.9182+0.115 * 0.7252
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9687+4.679 * -0.075702-0.327 * 0.9878
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円172,849 Mil.
Revenue was 225334 + 223840 + 211103 + 222116 = 円882,393 Mil.
Gross Profit was 25093 + 22175 + 25239 + 25428 = 円97,935 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円447,435 Mil.
Total Assets was 円918,255 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円382,570 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円38,508 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円52,244 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円374,776 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円193,585 Mil.
Net Income was 2245 + 1622 + 2927 + 2290 = 円9,084 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 21175 + 26849 + -2292 + 32866 = 円78,598 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円137,565 Mil.
Revenue was 239641 + 244969 + 256159 + 220259 = 円961,028 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13708 + 18642 + 40693 + 36394 = 円109,437 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円454,727 Mil.
Total Assets was 円901,082 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円366,602 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円26,041 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円58,738 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円385,454 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円179,194 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(172849 / 882393) / (137565 / 961028)
=0.195887 / 0.143144
=1.3685

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(109437 / 961028) / (97935 / 882393)
=0.113875 / 0.110988
=1.026

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (447435 + 382570) / 918255) / (1 - (454727 + 366602) / 901082)
=0.096106 / 0.088508
=1.0858

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=882393 / 961028
=0.9182

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(26041 / (26041 + 366602)) / (38508 / (38508 + 382570))
=0.066322 / 0.091451
=0.7252

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(52244 / 882393) / (58738 / 961028)
=0.059207 / 0.06112
=0.9687

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((193585 + 374776) / 918255) / ((179194 + 385454) / 901082)
=0.618958 / 0.626633
=0.9878

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9084 - 0 - 78598) / 918255
=-0.075702

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

UACJ has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


UACJ (TSE:5741) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-7-2 Otemachi, Tokyo Sankei Building, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0004
UACJ Corp and its subsidiaries are in the business of manufacturing aluminium products and development of technologies. Its products include flat rolled products, extruded products, foil products, cast and forged products, precision machined products and copper tube products. The firm's production technologies include flat rolling, extrusion, casting and forging, coating and surface treatment, DC casting and flat rolling.

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