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Subaru (TSE:7270) Beneish M-Score : -2.78 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Subaru Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Subaru's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7270' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Subaru was -2.27. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.62.


Subaru Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Subaru's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Subaru Beneish M-Score Chart

Subaru Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.48 -2.72 -2.65 -2.77

Subaru Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.77 -2.69 -2.69 -2.78

Competitive Comparison of Subaru's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Subaru's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Subaru's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Subaru's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Subaru's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Subaru Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Subaru for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.815+0.528 * 0.9121+0.404 * 0.9364+0.892 * 1.2589+0.115 * 1.1016
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9077+4.679 * -0.06914-0.327 * 0.9692
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円359,014 Mil.
Revenue was 1282943 + 1131315 + 1082140 + 966484 = 円4,462,882 Mil.
Gross Profit was 308493 + 238321 + 200967 + 184369 = 円932,150 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,702,904 Mil.
Total Assets was 円4,354,883 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円911,657 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円223,891 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円381,762 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,085,312 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円289,000 Mil.
Net Income was 147911 + 77706 + 73242 + 46012 = 円344,871 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 200456 + 137810 + 129614 + 178086 = 円645,966 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円349,891 Mil.
Revenue was 1057088 + 916795 + 834101 + 737006 = 円3,544,990 Mil.
Gross Profit was 221049 + 190957 + 140100 + 123229 = 円675,335 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,311,694 Mil.
Total Assets was 円3,847,504 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円837,287 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円232,323 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円334,077 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円998,682 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円254,095 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(359014 / 4462882) / (349891 / 3544990)
=0.080444 / 0.0987
=0.815

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(675335 / 3544990) / (932150 / 4462882)
=0.190504 / 0.208867
=0.9121

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2702904 + 911657) / 4354883) / (1 - (2311694 + 837287) / 3847504)
=0.169998 / 0.181552
=0.9364

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4462882 / 3544990
=1.2589

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(232323 / (232323 + 837287)) / (223891 / (223891 + 911657))
=0.217203 / 0.197166
=1.1016

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(381762 / 4462882) / (334077 / 3544990)
=0.085542 / 0.094239
=0.9077

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((289000 + 1085312) / 4354883) / ((254095 + 998682) / 3847504)
=0.31558 / 0.325608
=0.9692

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(344871 - 0 - 645966) / 4354883
=-0.06914

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Subaru has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Subaru (TSE:7270) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Ebisu Subaru Building, 1-20-8, Ebisu, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-8554
Subaru Corp is a Japan-based company engaged in the automobile manufacturing business. The company is split into three segments: Automotive Business Unit, Aerospace Company, and Other Businesses. The Automotive Business, which constitutes the vast majority of the company's revenue, manufactures, repairs, and sells passenger cars and their components under the Subaru brand. The Aerospace Company includes airplanes and aerospace-related machinery and components. The Other Businesses segment consists of Industrial product, and real estate lease, among others. A vast majority of the sales is derived from North America.

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