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The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617) Beneish M-Score : -1.76 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.76 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8617' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.16   Max: 72.15
Current: -1.76

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Kosei Securities Co was 72.15. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.16.


The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The Kosei Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.23 -0.59 -2.51 -3.02 -0.51

The Kosei Securities Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.85 -1.20 -0.89 -0.51 -1.76

Competitive Comparison of The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Kosei Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7382+0.528 * 0.9973+0.404 * 1.4506+0.892 * 1.6248+0.115 * 1.172
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4616+4.679 * 0.011505-0.327 * 0.8324
=-1.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,137 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 602 + 280 + 283 = 円1,165 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 589 + 277 + 263 = 円1,129 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,238 Mil.
Total Assets was 円21,816 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円3,952 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円45 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,563 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 0 + 256 + -12 + 7 = 円251 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円948 Mil.
Revenue was 330 + 153 + 107 + 127 = 円717 Mil.
Gross Profit was 317 + 148 + 103 + 125 = 円693 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円13,967 Mil.
Total Assets was 円21,808 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円3,964 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円53 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円12 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,480 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1137 / 1165) / (948 / 717)
=0.975966 / 1.322176
=0.7382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(693 / 717) / (1129 / 1165)
=0.966527 / 0.969099
=0.9973

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12238 + 3952) / 21816) / (1 - (13967 + 3964) / 21808)
=0.257884 / 0.177779
=1.4506

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1165 / 717
=1.6248

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(53 / (53 + 3964)) / (45 / (45 + 3952))
=0.013194 / 0.011258
=1.172

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9 / 1165) / (12 / 717)
=0.007725 / 0.016736
=0.4616

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 4563) / 21816) / ((0 + 5480) / 21808)
=0.209158 / 0.251284
=0.8324

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(251 - 0 - 0) / 21816
=0.011505

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Kosei Securities Co has a M-score of -1.76 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Kosei Securities Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-10 Kitahama 2-Chome, Chuo-Ku, Osaka, JPN, 541-0041
The Kosei Securities Co Ltd operates in the capital market industry. The company provides brokerage service, underwriting service, and other services related to securities.

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