The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617) Beneish M-Score: -1.80 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TSE:8617 The Kosei Securities Co Ltd TSE:8617
65 GF Score
Price 円539.00
GF Value 円829.55
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

The Kosei Securities Co TSE:8617 -0.19% 65 Beneish M-Score is -1.80 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8617 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of 円829.55 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 702 Capital Markets companies, The Kosei Securities Co ranks worse than 62.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8617' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.34   Max: -0.11
Current: -1.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Kosei Securities Co was -0.11. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.34.


The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Chart

The Kosei Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -3.11 -0.67 -0.11 -1.80

The Kosei Securities Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.80

TSE:8617 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8617
65GF Score
The Kosei Securities Co Ltd TSE:8617
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Kosei Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Kosei Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4957+0.528 * 1.0237+0.404 * 1.0786+0.892 * 1.9964+0.115 * 1.0204
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4592+4.679 * 0.019699-0.327 * 0.9381
=-1.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,329 Mil.
Revenue was 円1,110 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,057 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,908 Mil.
Total Assets was 円22,336 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円3,876 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円59 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円11 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,031 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円210 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-230 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,343 Mil.
Revenue was 円556 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円542 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,837 Mil.
Total Assets was 円21,783 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円3,926 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円61 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円12 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,230 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1329 / 1110) / (1343 / 556)
=1.197297 / 2.415468
=0.4957

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(542 / 556) / (1057 / 1110)
=0.97482 / 0.952252
=1.0237

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12908 + 3876) / 22336) / (1 - (12837 + 3926) / 21783)
=0.248567 / 0.230455
=1.0786

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1110 / 556
=1.9964

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(61 / (61 + 3926)) / (59 / (59 + 3876))
=0.0153 / 0.014994
=1.0204

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11 / 1110) / (12 / 556)
=0.00991 / 0.021583
=0.4592

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 5031) / 22336) / ((0 + 5230) / 21783)
=0.225242 / 0.240095
=0.9381

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(210 - 0 - -230) / 22336
=0.019699

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Kosei Securities Co has a M-score of -1.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.80 mean?
The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.80 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Kosei Securities Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Kosei Securities Co ranks #442 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 63%.
Is The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
The Kosei Securities Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.80. Based on the distribution chart, The Kosei Securities Co ranks #442 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The Kosei Securities Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Kosei Securities Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, The Kosei Securities Co ranks #442 out of 702 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places The Kosei Securities Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Kosei Securities Co and its competitors. The Kosei Securities Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Kosei Securities Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is 円829.55, compared to a current price of 円539.00 — trading 35% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.80. The Kosei Securities Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.80 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Kosei Securities Co (TSE:8617) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Kosei Securities Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円539.00 is trading 35% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円829.55. GuruFocus considers The Kosei Securities Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8617:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.80
  • GF Value™: 円829.55 vs. price of 円539.00 (35% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8617 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Kosei Securities Co Business Description

Address 1-10 Kitahama 2-Chome, Chuo-Ku, Osaka, JPN, 541-0041
The Kosei Securities Co Ltd operates in the capital market industry. The company provides brokerage service, underwriting service, and other services related to securities.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8617

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円539.00
Price
円829.55
GF Value