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Cosmos Initia Co (TSE:8844) Beneish M-Score : -1.53 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Cosmos Initia Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.53 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8844' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.34   Med: -1.92   Max: 0.13
Current: -1.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cosmos Initia Co was 0.13. The lowest was -3.34. And the median was -1.92.


Cosmos Initia Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cosmos Initia Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Cosmos Initia Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -0.83 -3.34 -2.60 -1.53

Cosmos Initia Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.53 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cosmos Initia Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cosmos Initia Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cosmos Initia Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6802+0.528 * 0.9951+0.404 * 1.0257+0.892 * 1.1493+0.115 * 0.9232
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.039852-0.327 * 0.9874
=-1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,497 Mil.
Revenue was 円123,374 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円20,124 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円146,253 Mil.
Total Assets was 円157,384 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,397 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円275 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円67,311 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円44,562 Mil.
Net Income was 円3,524 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円-2,748 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,811 Mil.
Revenue was 円107,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円17,425 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円135,052 Mil.
Total Assets was 円145,210 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,402 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円251 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円70,762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円33,773 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3497 / 123374) / (1811 / 107349)
=0.028345 / 0.01687
=1.6802

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17425 / 107349) / (20124 / 123374)
=0.162321 / 0.163114
=0.9951

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (146253 + 1397) / 157384) / (1 - (135052 + 1402) / 145210)
=0.061849 / 0.060299
=1.0257

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=123374 / 107349
=1.1493

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(251 / (251 + 1402)) / (275 / (275 + 1397))
=0.151845 / 0.164474
=0.9232

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 123374) / (0 / 107349)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((44562 + 67311) / 157384) / ((33773 + 70762) / 145210)
=0.710828 / 0.719888
=0.9874

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3524 - 0 - -2748) / 157384
=0.039852

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cosmos Initia Co has a M-score of -1.53 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Cosmos Initia Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cosmos Initia Co (TSE:8844) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Shintamachi Building Shiba 5-34-6, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8416
Cosmos Initia Co Ltd is a real estate company. It is engaged in the construction, leasing, inter-mediation, and sale of real estates. The company also offers real estate rental and real estate brokerage.

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