Horai Co (TSE:9679) Beneish M-Score: -2.38 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TSE:9679 Horai Co Ltd TSE:9679
75 GF Score
Price 円2,300.00
GF Value 円1,956.31
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Horai Co Beneish M-Score?

Horai Co TSE:9679 +1.63% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9679 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,956.31 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 397 Insurance companies, Horai Co ranks worse than 65.74% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horai Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9679' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.65   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Horai Co was -2.24. The lowest was -3.65. And the median was -2.57.


Horai Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Horai Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Horai Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Horai Co Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -2.33 -2.48 -2.74 -2.38

Horai Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.38 0.00 0.00

TSE:9679 vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Horai Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Horai Co Beneish M-Score vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Horai Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horai Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9679
75GF Score
Horai Co Ltd TSE:9679
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Horai Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Horai Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0424+0.528 * 1.0039+0.404 * 1.1408+0.892 * 1.1152+0.115 * 0.8494
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0184+4.679 * -0.022378-0.327 * 0.9205
=-2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円414 Mil.
Revenue was 円6,112 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,439 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,753 Mil.
Total Assets was 円19,707 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円15,623 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円453 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円822 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,507 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,904 Mil.
Net Income was 円498 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円939 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円356 Mil.
Revenue was 円5,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,295 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,122 Mil.
Total Assets was 円19,800 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円15,506 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円380 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円724 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,772 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,043 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(413.533 / 6111.745) / (355.729 / 5480.189)
=0.067662 / 0.064912
=1.0424

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1295.333 / 5480.189) / (1439.018 / 6111.745)
=0.236366 / 0.235451
=1.0039

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2753.072 + 15623.477) / 19706.82) / (1 - (3122.31 + 15505.798) / 19799.686)
=0.067503 / 0.059172
=1.1408

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6111.745 / 5480.189
=1.1152

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(379.807 / (379.807 + 15505.798)) / (452.508 / (452.508 + 15623.477))
=0.023909 / 0.028148
=0.8494

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(822.248 / 6111.745) / (723.979 / 5480.189)
=0.134536 / 0.132108
=1.0184

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2904.015 + 1507.408) / 19706.82) / ((3043.01 + 1771.832) / 19799.686)
=0.223853 / 0.243178
=0.9205

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(497.924 - 0 - 938.917) / 19706.82
=-0.022378

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Horai Co has a M-score of -2.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 mean?
Horai Co (TSE:9679) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Horai Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #261 out of 397 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 65.7%.
Is Horai Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Horai Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. Based on the distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #261 out of 397 companies in the Insurance industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Horai Co has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Horai Co's Beneish M-Score compare to BRK.A and AIG?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #261 out of 397 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Horai Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Insurance company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Horai Co and its competitors. Horai Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Horai Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Horai Co (TSE:9679) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,956.31, compared to a current price of 円2,300.00 — trading 17.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. Horai Co's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Horai Co (TSE:9679), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Horai Co (TSE:9679) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Horai Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,300.00 is trading 17.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,956.31. GuruFocus considers Horai Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9679:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.38
  • GF Value™: 円1,956.31 vs. price of 円2,300.00 (17.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9679 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Horai Co Business Description

Address 1-8-12, Nihonbashi-Horidome-cho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0012
Horai Co Ltd is engaged in the insurance agency business, rental property operation and management, real estate buying and selling and brokerage, feed production, dairy cow breeding, production and sales of milk and dairy products, operation of restaurants and tourist facilities, and operation of golf courses. The company is mainly engaged in Insurance business.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9679

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,300.00
Price
円1,956.31
GF Value