Horai Co (TSE:9679) Altman Z-Score: 1.51 (As of Jul. 07, 2026) — 53% Above Median


TSE:9679 Horai Co Ltd TSE:9679
74 GF Score
Price 円2,320.00
GF Value 円1,960.52
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Horai Co Altman Z-Score?

Horai Co TSE:9679 -1.07% 74 Altman Z-Score is 1.51 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 53% above its 10-year median of 0.99. GuruFocus rates TSE:9679 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,960.52 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 64 Insurance companies, Horai Co ranks worse than 54.69% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.51 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Horai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.51, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horai Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9679' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72   Med: 0.99   Max: 1.51
Current: 1.51

During the past 13 years, Horai Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.51. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 0.99.


Horai Co  (TSE:9679) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Horai Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Horai Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Horai Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Horai Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Horai Co Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.96 1.06 1.14 1.14 1.23

Horai Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.12 1.19 1.23 1.32 1.43

TSE:9679 vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Horai Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Horai Co Altman Z-Score vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Horai Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horai Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:9679
74GF Score
Horai Co Ltd TSE:9679
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Horai Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Horai Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0586+1.4*0.2425+3.3*0.0448+0.6*1.0233+1.0*0.3349
=1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円19,507 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,472 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,329 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円4,730 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 49.527 + 279.805 + 234.308 + 275.658 = 円839 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.372 + -8.626 + -8.762 + -8.441 = 円-34 Mil.
Revenue was 1425.412 + 1625.904 + 1873.998 + 1607.705 = 円6,533 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円9,726 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円9,505 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2472.124 - 1328.543)/19507.242
=0.0586

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4730.325/19507.242
=0.2425

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(839.298 - -34.201)/19507.242
=0.0448

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=9725.783/9504.69
=1.0233

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6533.019/19507.242
=0.3349

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Horai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.51 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.51 mean?
Horai Co (TSE:9679) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.51 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Horai Co and its competitors. This is 53% above median its historical median of 0.99. Over the past decade, Horai Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.72 to 1.51. According to the industry distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #35 out of 64 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 54.7%.
Is Horai Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Horai Co's current Altman Z-Score of 1.51 is 53% above median its 10-year median of 0.99. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.72 to a high of 1.51. The Insurance industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.56. Horai Co's value of 1.51 is 2.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #35 out of 64 companies in the Insurance industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Horai Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Horai Co's Altman Z-Score compare to BRK.A and AIG?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Horai Co ranks #35 out of 64 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Horai Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.56. Horai Co's value of 1.51 is 2.9% below this benchmark. Historically, Horai Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.72 to 1.51 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.99 vs. the industry median of 1.56, Horai Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Insurance company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Insurance companies is 1.56, based on 64 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Horai Co's current Altman Z-Score of 1.51 is 2.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Horai Co and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Horai Co's current Altman Z-Score is 1.51, which is 53% above median its own 10-year median of 0.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Horai Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Horai Co (TSE:9679) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,960.52, compared to a current price of 円2,320.00 — trading 18.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.51, which is 53% above median its 10-year median of 0.99 and 2.9% below the Insurance industry median of 1.56. Horai Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Horai Co (TSE:9679), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.51 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Horai Co (TSE:9679) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Horai Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,320.00 is trading 18.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,960.52. GuruFocus considers Horai Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9679:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.51 (53% above median its 10-year median of 0.99)
  • GF Value™: 円1,960.52 vs. price of 円2,320.00 (18.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2.9% below the Insurance median (#35 of 64)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9679 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Horai Co Business Description

Address 1-8-12, Nihonbashi-Horidome-cho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0012
Horai Co Ltd is engaged in the insurance agency business, rental property operation and management, real estate buying and selling and brokerage, feed production, dairy cow breeding, production and sales of milk and dairy products, operation of restaurants and tourist facilities, and operation of golf courses. The company is mainly engaged in Insurance business.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9679

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,320.00
Price
円1,960.52
GF Value