T.O. Holdings Co (TSE:9812) Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:9812 T.O. Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9812
47 GF Score
Price 円234.00
GF Value 円251.94
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is T.O. Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

T.O. Holdings Co TSE:9812 +2.63% 47 Beneish M-Score is -3.02 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9812 with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of 円251.94 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 387 Building Materials companies, T.O. Holdings Co ranks better than 85.53% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.02 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9812' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.74   Max: -2.55
Current: -3.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of T.O. Holdings Co was -2.55. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.74.


T.O. Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

T.O. Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

T.O. Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.48 -2.69 -3.10 -2.55 -3.02

T.O. Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Nov24 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.02 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:9812 vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


T.O. Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9812
47GF Score
T.O. Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9812
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

T.O. Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of T.O. Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7769+0.528 * 0.9969+0.404 * 1.0014+0.892 * 0.9447+0.115 * 1.058
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.062951-0.327 * 0.9985
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May25) TTM:Last Year (May24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,755 Mil.
Revenue was 円24,188 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円5,766 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,035 Mil.
Total Assets was 円17,003 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円8,114 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円500 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,438 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,077 Mil.
Net Income was 円-8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,063 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,392 Mil.
Revenue was 円25,605 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,085 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,558 Mil.
Total Assets was 円17,830 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円8,378 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円548 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,983 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,311 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1755.313 / 24188.27) / (2391.691 / 25605.236)
=0.072569 / 0.093406
=0.7769

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6085.344 / 25605.236) / (5766.474 / 24188.27)
=0.23766 / 0.2384
=0.9969

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8034.781 + 8114.033) / 17002.899) / (1 - (8558.287 + 8377.609) / 17830.338)
=0.050232 / 0.050164
=1.0014

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24188.27 / 25605.236
=0.9447

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(547.823 / (547.823 + 8377.609)) / (499.689 / (499.689 + 8114.033))
=0.061378 / 0.058011
=1.058

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 24188.27) / (0 / 25605.236)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5077.008 + 10437.912) / 17002.899) / ((5311.234 + 10983.444) / 17830.338)
=0.912487 / 0.913874
=0.9985

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-7.585 - 0 - 1062.759) / 17002.899
=-0.062951

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

T.O. Holdings Co has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.02 mean?
T.O. Holdings Co (TSE:9812) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.02 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on T.O. Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, T.O. Holdings Co ranks #56 out of 387 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 14.5%.
Is T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
T.O. Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. Based on the distribution chart, T.O. Holdings Co ranks #56 out of 387 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, T.O. Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does T.O. Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, T.O. Holdings Co ranks #56 out of 387 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places T.O. Holdings Co in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on T.O. Holdings Co and its competitors. T.O. Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is T.O. Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, T.O. Holdings Co (TSE:9812) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円251.94, compared to a current price of 円234.00 — trading 7.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.02. T.O. Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For T.O. Holdings Co (TSE:9812), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.02 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is T.O. Holdings Co (TSE:9812) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, T.O. Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円234.00 is trading 7.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円251.94. GuruFocus considers T.O. Holdings Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9812:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.02
  • GF Value™: 円251.94 vs. price of 円234.00 (7.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9812 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


T.O. Holdings Co Business Description

Address 3 - chome 18-15, Hokkaido Minato-cho, Hakodate, JPN, 041-8610
T.O. Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the sale of timbers, clothing, wood materials, furniture and electrical appliances. Its segments include Lumber, Distribution, Housing, Construction, Real Estate Leasing, Automobile and Services.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9812

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円234.00
Price
円251.94
GF Value