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Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ABX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Barrick Gold was -2.08. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.62.


Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Barrick Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.08 -2.84 -2.48 -2.60 -2.39

Barrick Gold Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.57 -2.42 -2.48 -2.39

Competitive Comparison of Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barrick Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Barrick Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.205+0.528 * 1.0451+0.404 * 1.0274+0.892 * 1.0656+0.115 * 0.9646
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7672+4.679 * -0.055479-0.327 * 0.9083
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$1,580 Mil.
Revenue was 4103.954 + 3872.572 + 3763.924 + 3616.417 = C$15,357 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1234.272 + 1281.386 + 1190.426 + 960.547 = C$4,667 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$9,979 Mil.
Total Assets was C$61,460 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$35,550 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$2,754 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$3,161 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$6,949 Mil.
Net Income was 642.626 + 497.941 + 405.223 + 164.196 = C$1,710 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 83.179 + -8.119 + 49.158 + -34.207 = C$90 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1337.575 + 1524.944 + 1105.395 + 1061.801 = C$5,030 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$1,231 Mil.
Revenue was 3768.479 + 3370.765 + 3660.664 + 3611.898 = C$14,412 Mil.
Gross Profit was 925.138 + 949.737 + 1291.924 + 1410.324 = C$4,577 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$11,500 Mil.
Total Assets was C$62,443 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$35,189 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$2,622 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$208 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$4,239 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$7,071 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1580.405 / 15356.867) / (1230.801 / 14411.806)
=0.102912 / 0.085402
=1.205

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4577.123 / 14411.806) / (4666.631 / 15356.867)
=0.317595 / 0.303879
=1.0451

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9978.821 + 35549.717) / 61460.038) / (1 - (11499.702 + 35189.225) / 62443.452)
=0.259217 / 0.252301
=1.0274

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15356.867 / 14411.806
=1.0656

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2621.956 / (2621.956 + 35189.225)) / (2753.66 / (2753.66 + 35549.717))
=0.069343 / 0.071891
=0.9646

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(170.064 / 15356.867) / (208.023 / 14411.806)
=0.011074 / 0.014434
=0.7672

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6949.488 + 3160.81) / 61460.038) / ((7070.992 + 4238.52) / 62443.452)
=0.164502 / 0.181116
=0.9083

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1709.986 - 90.011 - 5029.715) / 61460.038
=-0.055479

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Barrick Gold has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Barrick Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
161 Bay Street, Brookfield Place, Suite 3700, P.O. Box 212, TD Canada Trust Tower, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2S1
Based in Toronto, Barrick Gold is one of the world's largest gold miners. In 2022, the firm produced nearly 4.1 million attributable ounces of gold and about 440 million pounds of copper. At end 2022, Barrick had about two decades of gold reserves along with significant copper reserves. After buying Randgold in 2019 and combining its Nevada mines in a joint venture with competitor Newmont later that year, it operates mines in 19 countries in the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The company also has growing copper exposure. Its potential Reko Diq project in Pakistan, if developed, could double copper production by the end of the decade.

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