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Athabasca Oil (TSX:ATH) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of Mar. 26, 2025)


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What is Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ATH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.41   Med: -2.31   Max: 3.67
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Athabasca Oil was 3.67. The lowest was -3.41. And the median was -2.31.


Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score Chart

Athabasca Oil Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.19 -1.93 0.95 -2.68 -2.89

Athabasca Oil Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.55 -2.48 -3.12 -2.89

Competitive Comparison of Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Athabasca Oil's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Athabasca Oil for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2158+0.528 * 0.8963+0.404 * 0.6422+0.892 * 1.1368+0.115 * 1.3489
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7345+4.679 * -0.13226-0.327 * 0.9983
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$138 Mil.
Revenue was 352.456 + 376.781 + 401.738 + 311.116 = C$1,442 Mil.
Gross Profit was 183.796 + 211.04 + 211.919 + 145.149 = C$752 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$541 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,475 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,593 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$115 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$142 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$196 Mil.
Net Income was 264.336 + 68.722 + 96.076 + 38.501 = C$468 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 239.199 + -2.446 + -2.821 + 3.455 = C$237 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 158.677 + 187.143 + 135.083 + 76.638 = C$558 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$100 Mil.
Revenue was 315.929 + 379.241 + 282.614 + 290.741 = C$1,269 Mil.
Gross Profit was 141.952 + 208.093 + 134.133 + 108.664 = C$593 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$501 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,049 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,109 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$111 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$185 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$180 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(138.365 / 1442.091) / (100.106 / 1268.525)
=0.095947 / 0.078915
=1.2158

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(592.842 / 1268.525) / (751.904 / 1442.091)
=0.467348 / 0.521398
=0.8963

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (540.618 + 1593.316) / 2474.609) / (1 - (500.649 + 1108.843) / 2048.635)
=0.137668 / 0.214359
=0.6422

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1442.091 / 1268.525
=1.1368

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(110.798 / (110.798 + 1108.843)) / (115.053 / (115.053 + 1593.316))
=0.090845 / 0.067347
=1.3489

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(141.884 / 1442.091) / (169.914 / 1268.525)
=0.098388 / 0.133946
=0.7345

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((195.833 + 244.088) / 2474.609) / ((179.705 + 185.127) / 2048.635)
=0.177774 / 0.178085
=0.9983

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(467.635 - 237.387 - 557.541) / 2474.609
=-0.13226

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Athabasca Oil has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Athabasca Oil Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
215 - 9th Avenue SW, Suite 1200, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Athabasca Oil Corp is an energy company. The company is focused on the exploration, development, and production of light oil and liquids-rich natural gas. The company organizes its business under two operational segments, Duvernay Energy and Thermal Oil. It generates maximum revenue from the Thermal Oil segment. Thermal Oil includes the exploration, development, and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta.
Executives
Athabasca Oil Corporation Issuer
Karla Dawn Ingoldsby Senior Officer
Michael S J Wojcichowsky Senior Officer
Cam Danyluk Senior Officer
Robert Anthony Broen Senior Officer
Matthew Taylor Senior Officer
Ronald John Eckhardt Director
Marty Leigh Proctor Director
Thomas William Ebbern Director
John Festival Director
Equinor Asa (formerly Statoil Asa) 10% Security Holder
Anne Downey Director