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Greenfire Resources (TSX:GFR) Beneish M-Score : -1.51 (As of Apr. 07, 2025)


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What is Greenfire Resources Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.51 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:GFR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.51   Med: -1.51   Max: -1.51
Current: -1.51

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greenfire Resources was -1.51. The lowest was -1.51. And the median was -1.51.


Greenfire Resources Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greenfire Resources Beneish M-Score Chart

Greenfire Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
- - - - -1.51

Greenfire Resources Quarterly Data
Dec21 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.66 -1.51

Competitive Comparison of Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greenfire Resources's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Greenfire Resources Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greenfire Resources for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3362+0.528 * 0.8889+0.404 * 2.093+0.892 * 1.2175+0.115 * 0.8673
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8729+4.679 * 0.01998-0.327 * 0.8311
=-1.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$56.4 Mil.
Revenue was 208.895 + 193.643 + 219.444 + 200.99 = C$823.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 89.99 + 99.966 + 107.827 + 84.99 = C$382.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$144.2 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,257.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$960.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$80.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$81.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$335.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$82.7 Mil.
Net Income was 78.562 + 58.916 + 30.848 + -46.915 = C$121.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -18.905 + 35.285 + -3.893 + -60.747 = C$-48.3 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 60.195 + -17.875 + 85.163 + 17.064 = C$144.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$34.7 Mil.
Revenue was 161.73 + 160.967 + 173.605 + 179.668 = C$676.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 62.665 + 87.745 + 76.665 + 52.395 = C$279.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$163.8 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,173.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$941.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$67.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$77.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$130.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$339.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(56.417 / 822.972) / (34.68 / 675.97)
=0.068553 / 0.051304
=1.3362

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(279.47 / 675.97) / (382.773 / 822.972)
=0.413436 / 0.465111
=0.8889

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (144.238 + 960.059) / 1257.471) / (1 - (163.814 + 941.374) / 1173.483)
=0.121811 / 0.058199
=2.093

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=822.972 / 675.97
=1.2175

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(67.894 / (67.894 + 941.374)) / (80.725 / (80.725 + 960.059))
=0.067271 / 0.077562
=0.8673

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(81.846 / 822.972) / (77.017 / 675.97)
=0.099452 / 0.113936
=0.8729

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((82.737 + 335.859) / 1257.471) / ((339.751 + 130.283) / 1173.483)
=0.332887 / 0.400546
=0.8311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(121.411 - -48.26 - 144.547) / 1257.471
=0.01998

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greenfire Resources has a M-score of -1.44 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Greenfire Resources Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Greenfire Resources Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1900-205 5th Avenue SW, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 2V7
Greenfire Resources Ltd explores, acquires, develops and produces oil and gas in the Canadian energy sector and internationally. Greenfire currently has two producing oil sand assets, Hangingstone Expansion and Hangingstone Demo. The Company has one reportable operating segment which is made up of its oil sands operations based on geographic location : Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada, nature of the products sold and integration of facilities and operations.
Executives
Andrew Kim Director
Kevin William Millar Senior Officer
Kanderka Jonathan Senior Officer
Crystal Bernice Park Senior Officer
Anton Kraljic Senior Officer
Jonathan William Klesch Director
Robert Bahr Logan Director, Senior Officer