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Great-West Lifeco (TSX:GWO.PR.N.PFD) Beneish M-Score

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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Great-West Lifeco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Great-West Lifeco was -2.29. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.39.


Great-West Lifeco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Great-West Lifeco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$5,791.00 Mil.
Revenue was 17680 + 245 + 845 + 8414 = C$27,184.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17680 + 245 + 845 + 8414 = C$27,184.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$25,172.00 Mil.
Total Assets was C$713,230.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,374.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$474.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$4,807.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$3,788.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$9,215.00 Mil.
Net Income was 897 + 937 + 531 + 627 = C$2,992.00 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = C$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5140 + 470 + 627 + -1034 = C$5,203.00 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$5,229.00 Mil.
Revenue was 465 + -2770 + -5269 + 626 = C$-6,948.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 465 + -2770 + -5269 + 626 = C$-6,948.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$24,962.00 Mil.
Total Assets was C$672,206.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,494.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$485.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$4,181.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$4,061.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$10,139.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5791 / 27184) / (5229 / -6948)
=0.21303 /
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-6948 / -6948) / (27184 / 27184)
= / 1
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (25172 + 1374) / 713230) / (1 - (24962 + 1494) / 672206)
=0.962781 / 0.960643
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27184 / -6948
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(485 / (485 + 1494)) / (474 / (474 + 1374))
=0.245073 / 0.256494
=

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4807 / 27184) / (4181 / -6948)
=0.176832 /
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9215 + 3788) / 713230) / ((10139 + 4061) / 672206)
=0.018231 / 0.021124
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2992 - 0 - 5203) / 713230
=-0.0031

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Great-West Lifeco Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Great-West Lifeco (TSX:GWO.PR.N.PFD) Business Description

Address
100 Osborne Street North, Winnipeg, MB, CAN, R3C 1V3
Great-West Lifeco provides life insurance, health insurance, retirement products, asset management, recordkeeping services, and reinsurance products in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The Canada business contributes approximately 35% of adjusted earnings and has leading market positions in group insurance, group retirement, and individual insurance. The company operates the second-largest recordkeeping business under the Empower brand in the United States, with an earnings contribution from the country approximating 20%. Great-West Lifeco also offers various products across Europe markets with a strong presence in the U.K., Ireland, and Germany. The Europe segment contributes around 28% of adjusted earnings and the reinsurance business accounts for around 17% of adjusted earnings.