National Bank of Canada Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of National Bank of Canada for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9732 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0002 | + | 0.892 * 1.1696 | + | 0.115 * 1.0422 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.953 | + | 4.679 * 0.001449 | - | 0.327 * 1.1351 |
| = | -2.38 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Jan25) TTM: | Last Year (Jan24) TTM: |
Total Receivables was C$7,497 Mil.
Revenue was 3231 + 2944 + 3006 + 2748 = C$11,929 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3231 + 2944 + 3006 + 2748 = C$11,929 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$0 Mil.
Total Assets was C$483,833 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,917 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$527 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$3,858 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$42,999 Mil.
Net Income was 997 + 955 + 1033 + 907 = C$3,892 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = C$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4585 + 260 + 6791 + -8445 = C$3,191 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was C$6,586 Mil.
Revenue was 2709 + 2562 + 2487 + 2441 = C$10,199 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2709 + 2562 + 2487 + 2441 = C$10,199 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$0 Mil.
Total Assets was C$433,927 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,787 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$518 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$3,461 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$33,973 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (7497 / 11929) | / | (6586 / 10199) |
| = | 0.628468 | / | 0.64575 |
| | = | 0.9732 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (10199 / 10199) | / | (11929 / 11929) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 1917) / 483833) | / | (1 - (0 + 1787) / 433927) |
| = | 0.996038 | / | 0.995882 |
| | = | 1.0002 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 11929 | / | 10199 |
| | = | 1.1696 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (518 / (518 + 1787)) | / | (527 / (527 + 1917)) |
| = | 0.224729 | / | 0.21563 |
| | = | 1.0422 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (3858 / 11929) | / | (3461 / 10199) |
| = | 0.323414 | / | 0.339347 |
| | = | 0.953 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((42999 + 0) / 483833) | / | ((33973 + 0) / 433927) |
| = | 0.088872 | / | 0.078292 |
| | = | 1.1351 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (3892 - 0 | - | 3191) | / | 483833 |
| | = | 0.001449 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
National Bank of Canada has a M-score of -2.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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