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NFI Group (TSX:NFI) Beneish M-Score : -2.64 (As of Mar. 29, 2025)


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What is NFI Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.64 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NFI Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:NFI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.49   Max: -0.93
Current: -2.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NFI Group was -0.93. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.49.


NFI Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NFI Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NFI Group Beneish M-Score Chart

NFI Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.83 -0.93 -2.70 -2.64

NFI Group Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.77 -2.84 -2.85 -2.64

Competitive Comparison of NFI Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, NFI Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NFI Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, NFI Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NFI Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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NFI Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NFI Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8935+0.528 * 0.7321+0.404 * 0.9378+0.892 * 1.1862+0.115 * 1.0173
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8389+4.679 * -0.016242-0.327 * 1.0431
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$701 Mil.
Revenue was 1192.474 + 963.587 + 1166.615 + 978.313 = C$4,301 Mil.
Gross Profit was 131.444 + 117.571 + 139.022 + 93.329 = C$481 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$2,184 Mil.
Total Assets was C$4,152 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$428 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$110 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$329 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,344 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,631 Mil.
Net Income was 26.499 + -20.31 + 3.491 + -12.743 = C$-3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 29.719 + -6.291 + 3.234 + 15.243 = C$42 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 24.921 + -61.282 + 40.749 + 18.077 = C$22 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$661 Mil.
Revenue was 1068.869 + 961.165 + 877.264 + 718.541 = C$3,626 Mil.
Gross Profit was 116.64 + 67.242 + 63.629 + 49.583 = C$297 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,776 Mil.
Total Assets was C$3,622 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$414 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$109 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$331 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$987 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,502 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(700.541 / 4300.989) / (660.962 / 3625.839)
=0.162879 / 0.182292
=0.8935

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(297.094 / 3625.839) / (481.366 / 4300.989)
=0.081938 / 0.11192
=0.7321

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2184.322 + 428.496) / 4151.764) / (1 - (1776.079 + 414.435) / 3622.266)
=0.370673 / 0.395264
=0.9378

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4300.989 / 3625.839
=1.1862

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(108.936 / (108.936 + 414.435)) / (110.222 / (110.222 + 428.496))
=0.208143 / 0.204601
=1.0173

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(328.869 / 4300.989) / (330.506 / 3625.839)
=0.076464 / 0.091153
=0.8389

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1631.464 + 1344.259) / 4151.764) / ((1501.597 + 987.418) / 3622.266)
=0.716737 / 0.687143
=1.0431

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-3.063 - 41.905 - 22.465) / 4151.764
=-0.016242

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NFI Group has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NFI Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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NFI Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
711 Kernaghan Avenue, Winnipeg, MB, CAN, R2C 3T4
NFI Group Inc is a bus manufacturer providing a comprehensive suite of mass transportation solutions under brands: New Flyer(heavy-duty transit buses), Alexander Dennis Limited (ADL) (single and double-deck buses), Plaxton (motor coaches), MCI (motor coaches), ARBOC Specialty Vehicles, LLC (ARBOC) (low-floor cutaway and medium-duty buses) and NFI Parts (aftermarket parts sales). The Company has two reportable segments which are the Company's strategic business units: Manufacturing Operations and Aftermarket Operations. It generates majority revenue from Manufacturing Operations. Geographically, the company generates majority of its revenue from North America and rest from United Kingdom, Europe and Asia Pacific region.
Executives
Jannet Walker-ford Director
Paulo Cezar Nunes Director
Jason Michael Pellaers Senior Officer
Brian Keith Dewsnup Senior Officer
Phyllis Elaine Cochran Director
Richard Paul Davies Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary (other than in 4,5,6)
Wendy Wai Ting Kei Director
Steven Allan Young Senior Officer
Michael Gavin Stewart Director or Senior Officer of Insider or Subsidiary (other than in 4,5,6)
Colin Robertson Director
Katherine S. Winter Director
Paul Soubry Senior Officer
Stephen King Senior Officer
Pipasu Harish Soni Senior Officer
Adam L. Gray Director

NFI Group Headlines

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