Aura Minerals (TSX:ORA) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)

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What is Aura Minerals Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ORA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.17 Med: -2.64 Max: -1.46
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aura Minerals was -1.46. The lowest was -4.17. And the median was -2.64.

Aura Minerals Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aura Minerals Beneish M-Score Chart

Aura Minerals Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Beneish M-Score

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-2.06

-2.63

-3.22

-1.46

-2.65

Aura Minerals Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Beneish M-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-1.46	-1.41	-1.69	-3.04	-2.65

Competitive Comparison of Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aura Minerals's Beneish M-Score falls into.

Aura Minerals Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aura Minerals for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 * 1.3537

0.528 * 1.0524

0.404 * 0.3902

0.892 * 1.0939

0.115 * 1.1494

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 * 1.0226

4.679 * -0.070616

0.327 * 1.1319

-2.65

This Year (Dec23) TTM:

Last Year (Dec22) TTM:

Total Receivables was C$112.4 Mil.
Revenue was 166.79 + 149.7 + 112.865 + 132.707 = C$562.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 53.846 + 35.909 + 33.539 + 46.658 = C$170.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$508.4 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,239.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$655.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$65.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$32.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$264.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$369.5 Mil.
Net Income was -7.926 + 10.499 + 15.105 + 25.531 = C$43.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -46.458 + 5.871 + 2.148 + 0.966 = C$-37.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 56.438 + 36.517 + 40.998 + 34.251 = C$168.2 Mil.

Total Receivables was C$75.9 Mil.
Revenue was 143.797 + 108.298 + 119.569 + 142.141 = C$513.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 42.357 + 21.113 + 37.139 + 62.895 = C$163.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$319.9 Mil.
Total Assets was C$988.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$514.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$59.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$29.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$218.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$227.9 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(112.441 / 562.062)	/	(75.928 / 513.805)
	=	0.200051	/	0.147776
	=	1.3537

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(163.504 / 513.805)	/	(169.952 / 562.062)
	=	0.318222	/	0.302372
	=	1.0524

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (508.386 + 655.684) / 1239.402)	/	(1 - (319.898 + 514.236) / 988.048)
	=	0.060781	/	0.155776
	=	0.3902

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	562.062	/	513.805
	=	1.0939

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(59.891 / (59.891 + 514.236))	/	(65.447 / (65.447 + 655.684))
	=	0.104317	/	0.090756
	=	1.1494

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(32.615 / 562.062)	/	(29.157 / 513.805)
	=	0.058027	/	0.056747
	=	1.0226

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((369.521 + 264.828) / 1239.402)	/	((227.873 + 218.899) / 988.048)
	=	0.511819	/	0.452176
	=	1.1319

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(43.209 - -37.473	-	168.204)	/	1239.402
	=	-0.070616

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aura Minerals has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Aura Minerals Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aura Minerals (TSX:ORA) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Aura Minerals Inc (TSX:ORA) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

ORAAF:USA A531:Germany AURA33:Brazil

Address

255 Giralda Ave, Suite 6W102, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134

Website

https://www.auraminerals.com

Aura Minerals Inc is a mid-tier gold and copper production company focused on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. The company's producing assets include the San Andres gold mine in Honduras, the Ernesto/Paua -Pique gold mine in Brazil, the Aranzazu copper-gold-silver mine in Mexico and the Gold Road mine in the United States. In addition, the company has two additional gold projects in Brazil, Almas and Matupa, and one gold project in Colombia, Tolda Fria.