VOLAF (Volvo AB) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


VOLAF Volvo AB VOLAF
92 GF Score
Price $34.15
GF Value $28.60
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Volvo AB Beneish M-Score?

Volvo AB VOLAF -1.64% 92 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates VOLAF with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.60 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 205 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery companies, Volvo AB ranks better than 62.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VOLAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.44   Max: -2.11
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Volvo AB was -2.11. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.44.


Volvo AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Volvo AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Volvo AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -2.24 -2.27 -2.37 -2.64

Volvo AB Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.59 -2.51 -2.64 -2.58

VOLAF vs CAT, DE, PCAR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Volvo AB Beneish M-Score vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.


VOLAF
92GF Score
Volvo AB VOLAF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Volvo AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Volvo AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0154+0.528 * 1.0901+0.404 * 1.0455+0.892 * 1.0093+0.115 * 1.0435
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0534+4.679 * -0.024841-0.327 * 1.0135
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $18,258 Mil.
Revenue was 11888.228 + 13321.461 + 11810.044 + 12871.117 = $49,891 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3082.9 + 3317.48 + 2931.706 + 2894.263 = $12,226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $34,755 Mil.
Total Assets was $73,250 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,074 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,516 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,261 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $29,127 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16,296 Mil.
Net Income was 892.435 + 1034.486 + 804.464 + 776.272 = $3,508 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1141.437 + 2601.711 + 940.391 + 643.682 = $5,327 Mil.
Total Receivables was $17,814 Mil.
Revenue was 12019.58 + 12600.182 + 11435.917 + 13373.605 = $49,429 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3051.97 + 3210.833 + 3128.849 + 3813.483 = $13,205 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $34,483 Mil.
Total Assets was $67,866 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $11,741 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,208 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,008 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $26,094 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,432 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18257.846 / 49890.85) / (17814.128 / 49429.284)
=0.365956 / 0.360396
=1.0154

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13205.135 / 49429.284) / (12226.349 / 49890.85)
=0.267152 / 0.245062
=1.0901

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (34754.862 + 14073.756) / 73249.796) / (1 - (34483.361 + 11740.782) / 67866.039)
=0.333396 / 0.318891
=1.0455

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=49890.85 / 49429.284
=1.0093

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2207.631 / (2207.631 + 11740.782)) / (2516.359 / (2516.359 + 14073.756))
=0.158271 / 0.151678
=1.0435

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4261.448 / 49890.85) / (4008.07 / 49429.284)
=0.085415 / 0.081087
=1.0534

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16296.205 + 29127.098) / 73249.796) / ((15432.161 + 26093.676) / 67866.039)
=0.620115 / 0.611879
=1.0135

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3507.657 - 0 - 5327.221) / 73249.796
=-0.024841

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Volvo AB has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Volvo AB (VOLAF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Volvo AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Volvo AB ranks #77 out of 205 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, placing it in the top 37.6%.
Is Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score too high?
Volvo AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Volvo AB ranks #77 out of 205 companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Volvo AB has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Volvo AB's Beneish M-Score compare to CAT and DE?
According to the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry distribution chart, Volvo AB ranks #77 out of 205 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Volvo AB in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Volvo AB and its competitors. Volvo AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Volvo AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Volvo AB (VOLAF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.60, compared to a current price of $34.15 — trading 19.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Volvo AB's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Volvo AB (VOLAF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Volvo AB (VOLAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Volvo AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $34.15 is trading 19.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $28.60. GuruFocus considers Volvo AB to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for VOLAF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: $28.60 vs. price of $34.15 (19.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the VOLAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Volvo AB Business Description

Address Gropegardsgatan 2, Gothenburg, SWE, SE-417 15
The Volvo Group is one of the largest global truck, bus, construction equipment, and engine and power system original equipment manufacturers, operating with the Volvo, Renault Truck, Mack Trucks, Volvo Penta, and Nova Bus brands. Among the four largest Western global brands—Volvo, Daimler, Paccar, and Traton—Volvo ranks third in terms of annual deliveries. Its truck, construction equipment, bus, and engines and power system segments contributed 71%, 18%, 5%, and 5%, respectively, to industrial operations' revenue in 2025. An in-house financial services division supports these businesses. In its key regions of Europe, North America, Brazil, and Australia, the truck business holds large market shares of 29%, 17%, 24%, and 22%, respectively.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for VOLAF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$34.15
Price
$28.60
GF Value