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Agria Group Hol (XBUL:AGH) Beneish M-Score : -2.13 (As of Apr. 06, 2025)


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What is Agria Group Hol Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:AGH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -24.66   Med: -2.13   Max: -0.52
Current: -2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Agria Group Hol was -0.52. The lowest was -24.66. And the median was -2.13.


Agria Group Hol Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agria Group Hol Beneish M-Score Chart

Agria Group Hol Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.76 -1.83 -0.72 -1.89

Agria Group Hol Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.48 -1.89 -2.17 -2.11 -2.13

Competitive Comparison of Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agria Group Hol's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Agria Group Hol Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Agria Group Hol for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8385+0.528 * 0.9688+0.404 * 2.6275+0.892 * 0.8698+0.115 * 1.1206
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.7048+4.679 * 0.022724-0.327 * 1.0665
=-2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв85.4 Mil.
Revenue was 163.182 + 180.907 + 120.087 + 181.223 = лв645.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29.216 + 22.906 + 12.976 + 9.296 = лв74.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв343.1 Mil.
Total Assets was лв751.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв363.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв17.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв5.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв329.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв99.1 Mil.
Net Income was 9.143 + 1.888 + -6.114 + -11.331 = лв-6.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = лв0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -44.562 + 29.449 + -22.037 + 13.654 = лв-23.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв117.1 Mil.
Revenue was 214.324 + 186.5 + 147.521 + 193.695 = лв742.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 35.069 + 24.726 + 15.903 + 7.17 = лв82.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв337.9 Mil.
Total Assets was лв703.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв349.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв19.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв3.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв286.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв90.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(85.369 / 645.399) / (117.058 / 742.04)
=0.132273 / 0.157752
=0.8385

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(82.868 / 742.04) / (74.394 / 645.399)
=0.111676 / 0.115268
=0.9688

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (343.129 + 363.07) / 751.732) / (1 - (337.892 + 349.262) / 703.369)
=0.060571 / 0.023053
=2.6275

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=645.399 / 742.04
=0.8698

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(19.279 / (19.279 + 349.262)) / (17.779 / (17.779 + 363.07))
=0.052312 / 0.046683
=1.1206

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5.247 / 645.399) / (3.539 / 742.04)
=0.00813 / 0.004769
=1.7048

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((99.089 + 329.829) / 751.732) / ((90.339 + 285.959) / 703.369)
=0.570573 / 0.534994
=1.0665

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-6.414 - 0 - -23.496) / 751.732
=0.022724

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Agria Group Hol has a M-score of -2.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Agria Group Hol Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Agria Group Hol Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 Knyaz Boris I Boulevard, 9th Floor, Dimyat Business Center, Primorski District, Varna, BGR, 9002
Agria Group Hol is an investment holding company. The company divisions include Agribusiness which involves the purchase and lease of agricultural land, cultivation of cereals and oilseeds, and construction of irrigation systems; Storage and processing of agricultural products including construction and management of modern granaries; Trade and export and Renewable energy sources.