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British American Tobacco (XBUL:BMT) Beneish M-Score : -2.64 (As of Mar. 27, 2025)


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What is British American Tobacco Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.64 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:BMT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.85   Med: -2.57   Max: -1.15
Current: -2.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of British American Tobacco was -1.15. The lowest was -9.85. And the median was -2.57.


British American Tobacco Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

British American Tobacco Beneish M-Score Chart

British American Tobacco Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.49 -2.50 -3.78 -2.64

British American Tobacco Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 - -3.78 - -2.64

Competitive Comparison of British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where British American Tobacco's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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British American Tobacco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of British American Tobacco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0498+0.528 * 1.0017+0.404 * 1.0012+0.892 * 0.9469+0.115 * 2.0405
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.019+4.679 * -0.059353-0.327 * 1.0044
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв8,269 Mil.
Revenue was лв59,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв49,173 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв32,797 Mil.
Total Assets was лв272,811 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв10,048 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв7,026 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв2,618 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв43,005 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв74,887 Mil.
Net Income was лв7,039 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was лв23,232 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв8,319 Mil.
Revenue was лв62,679 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв52,017 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв32,591 Mil.
Total Assets was лв272,736 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв10,529 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв55,137 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв2,713 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв36,007 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв81,341 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8269.289 / 59351.194) / (8318.812 / 62679.412)
=0.139328 / 0.13272
=1.0498

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(52017.272 / 62679.412) / (49172.901 / 59351.194)
=0.829894 / 0.828507
=1.0017

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (32797.231 + 10047.508) / 272810.824) / (1 - (32590.629 + 10528.891) / 272735.734)
=0.842951 / 0.8419
=1.0012

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=59351.194 / 62679.412
=0.9469

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(55137.114 / (55137.114 + 10528.891)) / (7025.684 / (7025.684 + 10047.508))
=0.83966 / 0.411504
=2.0405

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2617.996 / 59351.194) / (2713.205 / 62679.412)
=0.04411 / 0.043287
=1.019

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((74887.086 + 43005.351) / 272810.824) / ((81341.027 + 36006.833) / 272735.734)
=0.43214 / 0.430262
=1.0044

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7039.45 - 0 - 23231.563) / 272810.824
=-0.059353

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

British American Tobacco has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


British American Tobacco Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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British American Tobacco Business Description

Address
Globe House, 4 Temple Place, London, GBR, WC2R 2PG
The second-largest tobacco company by volume, British American Tobacco sold 505 billion cigarettes in 2024. Its leading brands are Dunhill, Kent, Pall Mall, Lucky Strike, and Rothmans in cigarettes. Its ownership of the Camel, Natural American Spirit, and Newport brands are limited to the us. In next-generation products, the company has the Vuse brand in vaping, Glo in heated tobacco, and Velo in modern oral tobacco. The company also owns a 25.5% stake in ITC limited, the largest Indian cigarette company.

British American Tobacco Headlines

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